弹药保障需求分析实验模型输出数据的验证研究

摘要

弹药保障需求分析实验模型通过将少量仿真数据与大量历史经验数据有机整合，得到战时军械装备保障需求的相关数据。然而，为使模型的使用者对数据有一个充分的认识理解，需要对数据的可靠性和可信度进行验证。本文采用目标消耗量类比的方法，对模型输出数据的实用价值进行说明和验证。该验证思路具有广泛应用价值，是对相关装备保障需求分析研究结果应用的有益探索。%The experimental model of ammunition support demand analysis combines a small amount of simulation data with a large number of historical data, and obtains the data of support requirements of wartime ordnance equipment. However, in order to make the users of the model have a good understanding of the data, it is necessary to verify the reliability and reliability of the data. This paper uses the method of target consumption analogy to illustrate and verify the practical value of the output data of the model. This verification method is of wide application value, and it is a useful exploration for the application of the research results of related equipment support requirement analysis.