基于购买力平价法的全球工业化水平测度

摘要

With the increasingly important role of the global international comparison project(ICP)in the economic development and policy making of a country or a region,measuring the level of industrialization is particularly necessary based on the international comparability of PPP.Under the framework of the three-sector macroeconomic model,the paper demonstrates the negative relationship between investment and consumption.On this basis,combined with the availability of the sub-index of 2011ICP,a relative price index of fixed capital formation based on PPP is constructed.After calculating the industrialization level of 175 economies of seven regions and the top 12 economies,the results show that the degree of industrialization is opposite to the relative price index of fixed capital formation;high-income economies generally have a lower relative price index of fixed capital formation and higher resources per capita;and the results measured by relative price index of fixed capital formation and real GDP per capita are consistent.%随着全球国际比较项目（ICP）的统计结果在一国或地区经济发展和政策制定中产生越来越重要的作用，基于国际可比的购买力平价（PPP）测度工业化发展状况显得尤为必要。本文在三部门宏观经济模型框架下，论证了消费与投资此消彼长的关系。在此基础上，结合2011年轮ICP分项数据的可得性，构建了基于PPP的固定资本形成相对价格新指标体系。通过对全球七大区域175个经济体和12个最大的经济体的工业化水平进行测算后发现：工业化进程与固定资本形成相对价格呈反向变动关系，而与人均实际经济资源占有量呈正向变动关系；高收入经济体普遍有着相对较低的固定资本形成相对价格和较高的人均资源占有量；在固定资本形成相对价格和人均实际GDP两种口径下，测算的工业化水平具有一致性。