农民工的就业不平等感知对其冲突行为意愿的影响研究--基于全国7个城市的调研数据

摘要

Based on the investigation of migrant workers in 7 cities in 2013 , this paper analyzes the migrant workers’ perception of the inequality in employment chances, payment and discrimination, and their effect on their intention of participating conflicts by Logistic binary linear regression model. The analysis shows that the migrant workers ’ perception of employment discrimination has the greatest influence on their intention of participating in the high risk conflicts, such as extreme behavior, violation of rules, and even crimes. The perception of inequality in payment has obvious impact on their intention of participating in conflicts. Furthermore, conformity and free rider psychology among the migrant workers strengthens their participating in collective conflicts although they have no perception of inequality. There is great difference in the intention of participating in conflict caused by perception of inequality between the new generation⁃migrant worker and the old generation worker. The old generation tends to choose reserved, indirect, low⁃risk actions, while the younger generation is inclined to choose high⁃risk actions such as suicide, revenge, riot or even criminal offence, which will lead to serious social problems.%基于2013年针对7个城市从业农民工的调查数据，建立二元Logistic回归模型，重点分析农民工在就业机会不平等、工资待遇不平等以及就业歧视等方面的感知对农民工冲突行为意愿的影响。结果显示：农民工的就业歧视感知对其冲突行为意愿的影响最大，且容易引发农民工极端、违规或犯罪等高风险冲突行为；工资待遇方面不平等感知对农民工冲突行为有显著影响，并且农民工较强的从众和“搭便车”心理，导致他们在没有工资待遇方面不平等感知的情况下，反而有较强参与群体性事件的意愿；农民工就业不平等感知下的冲突行为意愿具有明显的代际差异，老一代农民工倾向于选择隐忍、含蓄的低风险冲突行为，而新生代农民工则更愿意选择自杀、报复、闹事、刑事犯罪等高风险冲突行为，容易引发较为严重的社会风险问题。