聚丙烯市场发展趋势及应对策略研究

摘要

聚丙烯是五大通用合成树脂之一,在热性能、化学稳定性和透明性上优于其他合成树脂,应用范围广泛.近年来全球聚丙烯产能增长迅速,产能增长主要来自于亚太地区,特别是中国,未来3年中国聚丙烯产能快速增长使得国内聚丙烯出现过剩.本文通过对2017年国内聚丙烯市场的供需状况和竞争格局进行分析,预测了未来随着煤化工、PDH等产能的快速发展,国内聚丙烯产能将新增740万吨/年,约占当期全球新增产能的70％以上.针对以上市场状况,提出了石化企业未来的应对策略及发展建议.%Polypropylene is one of five major general synthetic resins. It is better than other synthetic resins on thermal property, chemical stability and transparency, and has broad scope of application. In recent years, global polypropylene capacity has increased rapidly, with capacity growth mainly from the Asian-Pacific region, especially from China, in future 3 years. The rapid growth of China's polypropylene capacity will make domestic polypropylene be in over-capacity. Based on analyzing the supply-demand situation and competition pattern of domestic polypropylene market, the article forecasts that, in future, following the rapid development of coal chemical industry, PDH and other capacity, domestic polypropylene capacity will newly increase 7.40 million t/a, occupying about more than 70％ of the period global newly increased capacity. Aiming at the above market situation, it puts forward countermeasures and development suggestions for Sinopec in future.