基于空间洛伦茨曲线和基尼系数理论的山东省农林牧渔服务业产值结构分析

摘要

基于山东省各市2003-2012年农林牧渔服务业产值的数据，应用经济学中的洛伦茨曲线和基尼系数的理论，对山东省农林牧渔服务业产值进行定量化研究。结果表明：空间结构分布：农业产值、牧业产值和农林牧渔服务业产值的基尼系数分布在0.10~0.24，3种产值在山东省分布较均衡；林业产值的基尼系数分布在0.33~0.36，产值的空间分布比较集中；渔业产值的基尼系数在0.57~0.59，产值的空间分布非常集聚。时间结构变化：林业产值趋向集中，农业产值、牧业产值、渔业产值和农林牧渔服务业产值趋向分散。通过研究产值的变化规律，可以为山东省调整农业生产结构、因地制宜发展农业生产提供良好的借鉴。%Based on the output value of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,fishery and services industry of each city in Shandong Province from 2003 to 2012,the concept of Lorrenze curves and Gini coefficient(GC)were used to analyze the structure of the value.The results showed that the o-utput value of the agriculture,animal husbandry and services industry (GC=0.10~0.24)were more balanced,and the second unbalanced was the output value of forestry(GC=0.33~0.36),most unbalanced was the output value of fishery(GC=0.57~0.59). In the view of the time,the output value of forestry tended to concentrate, the remaining four kinds of output value tended to be scattered. By studying the variation of output value ,we could adjust the agri-cultural production structure of Shandong Province according to local conditions in order to develop agricultural production.