基于出行服务链的社区公交线路模式与效应分析

摘要

Public transport system should be improved by regulating the process of motorization and boosting district development. This paper puts forward that community bus is important to build the multi-mode trip-chain basic on traffic behavior. Considering trip-chain, reasonable design of bus lines could enhance community appeals. With trip-chain nodes increasing, districts become more attractive. Using disaggregate model to calculate the SP survey data, this paper demonstrates that there exist considerable demands and network design for community buses.%在分析上海轨道交通网络布局和居民出行行为方式的基础上,提出需要从调控机动化的合理进程与水平的角度,考虑建立在交通行为分析基础上的以公交为主体的多方式出行服务链,社区公交是构建这一模式的重要方式.从市场细分的角度来看,很多社区的公交线路布设缺乏与轨道交通衔接的线路,存在对公交服务水平尤其是舒适度需求较高人群细分需求尚未满足.从出行服务链的角度来看,合理的社区公交线路设计可以促使街区吸引力的提升,内部出行链结构节点增加,街区活动节点的吸引强度增加并更为均衡.最后应用非集计模型SP调查数据进行计算,对社区公交的客流需求和线网布设进行了探讨.