基于层次分析法的区间估计的车站能力查定误差因子分析研究

摘要

This paper analyzed the various influence factors in calculating a railway station carrying capacity, and the inevitability of deviation. The weights of these factors were calculated with the range estimation method from AHP. Having compared the weight ranges of the factors, the strong factors were selected and the weak ones were excluded.This research provids a base for accuratly calculating a railway station carrying-capacity.%本文归纳总结了车站能力查定计算过程中存在的多种影响因素，深入分析了其产生原因和不可避免性。然后利用层次分析法的区间估计方法计算得出各种误差因子对计算结果的影响权重大小，并对比不同误差因子的权重区间，筛选出强误差因子，剔除弱误差因子，为精确计算车站能力值提供依据。