在当前社会政治经济飞速发展的同时，伴随着突发事件的频繁爆发，我国社会管理也面临着危机和挑战。基于风险评估模型，结合政府作为信息供给中心能够控制群体行为空间（ GBS ）扩展方向等理论，构建以风险评估、情绪反应、行为倾向和政府信息供给为核心的分析框架，对于探讨民众的行为决策模式及其所形成的群体行为空间（ GBS ）具有重要意义。研究发现，降低民众风险认知偏差、缓解消极情绪反应、提高政府的信息供给，能够有效控制突发事件的扩大和恶化。%With the rapid development of politics and economy at present ,accompanied by the unexpected events ,the social management in China is faced with crisis and challenge .Based on risk evaluation model ,combined with the idea that government as the information provision center can control the extending direction of group behavior space , it is very significant to construct the analyzing structure centered on risk evaluation ,emotion reaction ,behavior tendency and government information provision for the study of people 's behavior decision model and their group behavior space .Researches find that the reduction of people's risk cognitive deviation ,the allevation of negative emotion reaction ,and increasing government information provision can effectively control unexpected events .
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