基于仿真的潜艇装备作战能力ANP幂指数评估方法

摘要

In order to cope with the interdependence and interrelationship between evaluation criteria in conventional power index model, and to eliminate the subjectivity of expert's preference in the evaluation process, this study proposes a framework to create a novel Analytic Network Process (ANP) power index model for operational capability evaluation of submarine equipments based on simulation experiment. Then, by taking an anti-ship operations scenario of submarine as example, the method to design and optimize of networked evaluation index system, the approach to construct ANP Supennatrix based on expert's knowledge and simulation, and the approach to construct power index model based on criteria weights, were; presented in detail. Through comparing and analyzing the results of ANP power index model and the results of AHP power index model for operational capability of submarine anti-ship, the feasibility and effectiveness of proposed framework was verified.%针对潜艇装备作战能力幂指数评估模型中评估指标之间存在相互依赖或影响关系,以及评估过程主观性较强的情况,建立了基于仿真的潜艇装备作战能力ANP幂指数评估流程;以潜艇反舰作战能力评估为例,给出了网络化评估指标体系设计与优化方法;基于专家和仿真数据的ANP超矩阵构建方法以及基于指标权重的幂指数评估模型构建方法,建立了基于仿真的潜艇反舰作战能力ANP幂指数模型,并将评估结果与通常的AHP幂指数评估模型的评估结果进行了比较分析,验证了方法的合理性和有效性.