战略性新兴产业、传统产业与区域经济空间协调发展度研究--基于三子系统耦合系统的分析框架

摘要

To quantitatively measure the coordinated development efficiency of China's strategic emerging industries, traditional industries and regional economic space, built the coordinated development degree function and dynamic evaluation model of the coupling system composed by the three subsystems of strategic emerging industries, traditional industries and regional economic space through expanding the analysis framework of "Capacity Coupling". By relaxing the constraint condition between strategic emerging industries and high-tech industries using the cross-section data in 2010, the coordinated development degree of strategic emerging industries, traditional industries and regional economic space of China was empirically evaluated. The results showed that there was a decreasing degree of coordinated de-velopment in order of eastern region, central region and western region. Macro and pulse policies should be given to provide more driving power to Jiangxi, Guizhou, Chongqing, Gansu and Yunnan provinces, the development path and experiences of Sichuan should be dug deeply and made a widespread reference.%　　为定量测度我国战略性新兴产业、传统产业与各省经济空间的协调发展效率，通过扩充“容量耦合”的分析框架，构建由战略性新兴产业、传统产业与区域经济空间三个子系统所组成耦合系统的协调发展度函数，并补充动态分期评价模型。通过放松战略性新兴产业与高技术产业之间的约束条件，以2010年度横截面数据为样本，对各省战略性新兴产业、传统产业与区域经济空间的协调发展度进行实证评价。结果表明：东部地区、中部地区以及西部地区的协调发展度依次降低。对于江西、贵州、重庆、甘肃以及云南5省，宏观层面应给予更多的政策跃迁动力，并挖掘四川省产业经济协调发展的路径和经验。