我国玉米价格变化趋势预测与产业发展建议--基于2015年我国玉米市场价格下调的原因分析

摘要

The paper analyzes the causes of the dropping prices of corn in 2015 from the perspective of its supply and demand,prices of collection and stock and its substitutes.It also predicts the corn develop-ment tendency based on the market reaction, supplies of the substitutes, and the further processing in-dustry.The authors offer some suggestions after the dialectic analysis of the deeper effects of the dropping prices of the corn industry.%从库存供给、市场需求、收储价格以及替代品供给等方面，对2015年我国玉米市场价格下调的原因进行了分析；从产业政策调控的市场反应、替代品供给、深加工市场走向，对玉米价格变化趋势进行了预测。从利弊2个维度，对此轮玉米价格调整对产业的影响效应进行了辩证评估，提出了我国玉米产业发展的对策建议。