产业融合对制造业绩效影响的实证研究--制造业与服务业双向融合的视角

摘要

传统意义上的服务业与制造业之间的边界越来越模糊，而更多地表现出一种互相融合的趋势。利用 WIOD 数据库中我国1995-2011年的投入产出表，从服务业与制造业双向融合的角度分别计算出我国服务业整体以及三大生产性服务业（商务服务业、运输业、邮政通讯业）与制造业的正向融合度与反向融合度。然后以14个分行业制造业为截面构造面板数据，从服务业整体与分行业两个方面，探究服务业与制造业的正向融合、反向融合对于制造业产业绩效的影响。实证结果表明，我国服务业与制造业的正向融合和反向融合均对制造业产业绩效的提升有显著的促进作用，虽然目前表现为正向融合的促进作用大于反向融合，但是随着产业结构的演变以及经济全球化的发展，正向融合度的促进作用降低，而反向融合度的促进作用趋于增强。%Based on Chinese input - output table data from WIOD database,this paper calculates the for-ward convergence and reverse convergence of the service industry as well as the three major producer services (business services,transport,postal communication services)and manufacturing industry from the perspective of bidirectional integration. Then this paper sets up panel data with 14 sub - sectors of manufacturing,and a-nalysis the association between industry convergence and the performance of manufacturing industry. The em-pirical results show that the forward convergence and reverse convergence of the service industry and manufac-turing industry have a significant effect on the performance of manufacturing industry. Although the forward convergence shows a better positive promoting on the performance of manufacturing industry than the reverse integration,as the constant adjustment of industrial structure,the power of the forward convergence becomes lower,and the power of the reverse convergence enhances.