基于证据理论的火灾风险评估框架研究

摘要

The concept of confidence degree in evidence theory was used to make a new explanation of "probability".Through the feasibility analysis of fire risk of D-S evidence theory, combined with evidence reasoning algorithm, a fire risk assessment framework based on evidence theory was proposed, which provides a way to deal with the uncertainty in fire risk assessment more flexibly and transparently.%运用证据理论中置信度的概念来对"概率"作了新的解释,分析D-S证据理论应用在火灾风险评估上的可行性,通过问题的描述,结合证据推理算法,提出一种基于证据理论的火灾风险评估框架.该框架为更加灵活和透明地处理好火灾风险评估中的不确定性问题提供了一种思路.