未来空域窗下高炮武器系统的毁伤概率

摘要

In order to calculate the damage probability of antiaircraft gun weapon system more accurately,the firing data errors are decomposed; and meanwhile,the relativity and repeatability of firing data error components are analyzed. Based on the above analysis,a Monte Carlo method which calculates the damage probability is given with the help of the generation method of weak correlation errors. This method provides the damage probabilities for the antiaircraft gun weapon system in the conditions of future airspace window shot system and concentrated firing one. The comparison result shows that future airspace window shot system is better than the other one when the target is highly mobile,and the how to select the shot system by the mobility of target is specified as well.%为得到更准确的高炮武器系统毁伤概率算法，将射击诸元误差进行了分解，并对射击诸元误差各分量进行了相关性和重复性分析；在上述分析的基础上，结合弱相关误差序列的生成方法，给出了毁伤概率计算的蒙特卡罗法；基于此算法，计算了高炮武器系统使用未来空域窗射击体制或集火射击体制时，对不同机动特性目标的毁伤概率；结果表明，对高机动目标进行射击时，未来空域窗射击体制相比集火射击体制更优；同时给出了根据目标机动特性选择射击体制的方法。