Space Observations and Global Climatic Data Reanalysis in AERMOD Modeling Package to Enhance the Industrial Air Pollution and Health Risk Assessment

摘要

We try to enhance the AERMOD industrial pollution dispersion model with remote sensing observations and climatic models based on them. In this paper, we focus on surface parameters (albedo, roughness, Bowen ratio) and land use classification on which they depend. We model maximum hourly concentrations and the resulting acute health risk and assess the effect on them produced by using remote sensing data for local areas around industrial plants instead of global standard AERMOD parameters. We consider five real multi-source plants for the effect of classification and two of them for the effect of surface parameters. The effect on the critical pollutant is measured in three ways: a) as difference between the yearly maxima of hourly concentrations of a critical pollutant (“absolute”);b) the same limited to daytime workhours and 95% quantile instead of absolute maximum (“regulatory”);c) as maximum hourly difference over a year (“instant”). The measure of effect is divided either by the reference concentration of the pollutant, which yields the impact on health risk, or by the concentration obtained with AERMOD standards, which yields relative measure of impact. For a), the impact of roughness dominates, that of albedo is small and that of the Bowen ratio is almost zero. For b), the impact of roughness is less prominent, and that of albedo and Bowen ratio is noticeable. For c), the impact is considerable for all three parameters. The effect of land use classification is considerable in all three cases a) - c). We provide the figures for different measures of remote sensing data effect and discuss the perspective of using remote sensing data in regulatory context.