日益严峻的“民工荒”现象引发了我国是否已出现所谓“刘易斯转折点”的讨论.刘易斯二元经济模型将“城市—乡村”的发展看成一个交互的连续过程,而我国独特的城乡二元体制和显著的区域差异则导致了该理论分析上的诸多困惑.文章在厘清刘易斯模型的各种预设条件及其与中国现实差异的基础上,对相关研究进行归纳和述评；然后以湖北省村镇调研为例,从城镇化的微观机制视角检验相关研究的主要观点及政策建议.最后,文章试图为中国特色的“二元关系转折点”现象提供解释框架,并基于微观机制研究的启示而讨论其政策含义.%The aggravating labor shortage has triggered debates on whether Lewisian turning point has appeared in China. Lewis urbanrural dual economy model envisions the "urbanrural" development in developing countries as a continuous and interactive process, but the unique characters of China's urban-rural dual institution and significant regional disparity have incurred some theoretical confusions. On the basis of clarifying the pre-conditions of Lewis model and the realities of China's development, this paper reviews relative researches, and takes the micro mechanism of urbanization, namely investigation of towns and villages in Hubei Province as empirical evidence to testify the existing arguments and policy suggestions. Finally, this paper tries to provide a uniform interpretation framework for the phenomenon of Chinese featured turning point of urban-rural dual relationship, and discusses the policy implications.
展开▼
