目的:通过分析上海市放射诊疗机构对放射卫生技术服务的需求,预测放射卫生技术服务机构需要的人力资源情况。方法:结合文献数据和网络资料,分析上海市放射诊疗机构数量、放射工作人员和仪器设备的变化趋势,依据国家现行法律法规中规定放射诊疗机构必须开展的放射卫生技术服务项目,采用卫生服务需求法预测放射卫生技术人员数量。结果:上海市目前约1400家放射诊疗机构、6400名放射卫生工作人员和3700台放射诊疗设备,满足这些放射诊疗机构放射卫生技术需求约需配备330名放射卫生技术服务人员。结论:上海市放射诊疗机构的基数大、增长快,放射工作人员数量不断增多,仪器设备更新换代变化明显,对放射卫生技术服务的需求无论在技术上还是人员上都将持续增加,政府应予积极支持引导其发展。%Objective:To predict the need of human resources in radiation protection service agencies in Shanghai by analyzing the the demand for the services of radiological diagnosis and radiotherapy in hospitals. Methods:The number of divisions of radiological diagnosis and radiotherapy,professionals and instrument for radiological diagnosis and radiotherapy were analyzed based on the available data from the literatures and governmental networks. The workload of required services provided by the radiation protection service agencies,which were promulgated by the government in various laws or regulations,was estimated. The need of human resources in the radiation protection service agencies was predicted. Results:There are about 1 400 divisions of radiological diagnosis and radiotherapy, 6 400 staff and 3 700 pieces of radiological instrument in Shanghai. Three hundred and thirty staff in the radiation protection service agencies are needed to meet the needs of radiation protection services. Conclusion:The number of division of radiological diagnosis and radiotherapy in Shanghai hospitals is large and grows rapidly,as well as the staff and equipment. The need of radiological health services will continuously increase and government should pay more attention to support the development of these agencies.
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