中国沿海地区海洋渔业对海洋经济贡献度的异化研究

摘要

Marine economy demonstration zones have been established in coastal areas such as Zhejiang,Guangdong and Fujian since the development planning of Shandong Peninsula Blue Economic Zone was approved by the State Council in 2011.In this paper, the statistical analysis on the correlation between marine fisheries and marine economy is made by ADF test,co-integration test, Granger test,VAR model and panel data model. Then,an empirical research on the fixed and random effect of the marine fisheries’ contribution to marine economy is done through the data from 11 coastal provinces in China. The result shows that obvious alienation exists in the marine fisheries' contribution to marine economy in China.%自2011年国务院批复《山东半岛蓝色经济区发展规划》以来，浙江、广东、福建等沿海地区也相继建立了各自的海洋经济示范规划区。本文通过对海洋渔业与海洋经济关系的统计分析，利用ADF检验、协整检验、格兰杰检验，以及VAR模型和面板模型，实证研究了我国沿海11省市海洋渔业对海洋经济贡献度的固定影响和随机影响效应。研究发现，我国海洋渔业对海洋经济贡献度呈现出明显的地区异化现象。