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世界油料、油脂供需及贸易格局分析

         

摘要

The change features of the production, consumption and pattern of trade of oilseeds and oils were summarized. The trade situation of supply and demand between the main production countries and the demand countries of soybean,rapeseed,peanut,palm oil,soybean oil,rapeseed oil and sunflower seed oil,and the evolving trend of future trade relationships of supply and demand in the world were analysed. The analysis result showed that the developing countries would have more significant effect on the market of oilseeds and oils in the future;from a global perspective,the existance of competitive relation between the main supply countries and the main demand countries of oilseeds was the balance between supply ca-pacity of supply countries and purchasing capacity of demand countries.%总结近几年世界油料、油脂生产、消费以及贸易格局变动特征,分析了大豆、油菜籽、花生、棕榈油、大豆油、菜籽油及葵花籽油的主产国和需求国之间供需贸易情况,以及未来世界油脂市场供求贸易关系的演变趋势. 分析表明:未来发展中国家对油料、油脂市场的影响日趋显著;从全球视角来看,油料主要供给国之间以及主要需求国之间存在相互竞争关系,具体表现为供给国供应能力和需求国购买力相互间的权衡.

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