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Status and surprises: Causes of reaction to new information about firm performance.

机译:状况和惊喜:对有关公司绩效的新信息做出反应的原因。

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摘要

A wide range of evidence confirms that in markets characterized by high informational uncertainty a firm's status position is a signal of that firm's quality, and that resource holders are more likely to select and invest in high status firms. The central question of my dissertation is if status as a signal of the quality of the firm remains relevant when new information about the firm's performance becomes public, and if so, how does a firm's status affect market reaction to new information.;I advance two theoretical models for jointly analyzing status and information. Although related, they answer two distinct questions about the role of status in processing two types of information: data about the actual performance of the firm and voluntary information about a firm's future performance. I test the models by analyzing two phenomena in the stock market.;First, I analyze the reaction to earnings announcements released by public firms at the end of the financial periods. I provide evidence that status magnifies the reaction to surprises by showing that the return on the stock of high status firms which deliver negative (positive) surprises is lower (higher) than the return on the stock of lower status firms which deliver similar results.;Second, I analyze the role of status in interpreting the meaning of voluntary earnings guidance. I provide evidence that, compared to low status firms, high status firms which do not offer guidance do not receive any sanction, but that middle status firms without earnings guidance receive less analysts coverage in the next year. I also show that the return on the stock of the firm is the lowest (largest) for high status firms which do not offer earnings guidance and turn negative (positive) surprises. For middle status firms with positive surprises the return is lower than for their peers which offer guidance and turn positive earnings surprises.
机译:大量证据证实,在信息不确定性高的市场中,公司的地位地位是该公司质量的信号,并且资源持有者更有可能选择并投资于地位高的公司。我的论文的中心问题是,当关于公司绩效的新信息公开时,作为公司质量信号的地位是否仍然相关;如果是,那么,公司地位如何影响市场对新信息的反应。共同分析状态和信息的理论模型。尽管相关,但它们回答了有关状态在处理两种类型的信息中的作用的两个不同的问题:有关公司实际绩效的数据和有关公司未来绩效的自愿信息。我通过分析股票市场中的两种现象来测试模型。首先,我分析了公众公司在财务期末发布的收益公告的反应。我提供的证据表明,地位显示出对意外的反应的放大率,表明提供负面(正面)惊喜的高地位公司的股票收益低于(较高)提供相似结果的较低地位的公司股票的收益(更高)。其次,我分析了身份在解释自愿性收入指导的含义中的作用。我提供的证据表明,与低地位的公司相比,不提供指导的高地位的公司不会受到任何制裁,但没有收入指导的中地位的公司在明年的分析师覆盖率会降低。我还表明,对于那些没有提供收益指引并且不会带来负面(积极)惊喜的高地位公司,公司的股票收益率是最低(最大)的。对于具有令人惊讶的惊喜的中等地位公司,其回报要低于提供指导并带来积极的利润惊喜的同行。

著录项

  • 作者

    Lup, Daniela.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Chicago.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Chicago.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.;Sociology Organizational.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 148 p.
  • 总页数 148
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 宗教;
  • 关键词

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