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Causal inference methods for addressing censoring by death and unmeasured confounding using instrumental variables.

机译:因果推理方法,用于解决由工具变量导致的死亡检查和无法测量的混淆。

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摘要

This thesis considers three problems in causal inference. First, for the censoring by death problem, we propose a set of ranked average score assumptions making use of survival information both before and after the measurement of a non-mortality outcome to tighten the bounds on the survivor average causal effect (SACE) obtained in the previous literature that utilized survival information only before the measurement. We apply our method to a randomized trial study of the effect of mechanical ventilation with lower tidal volume vs. traditional tidal volume for acute lung injury patients. Our bounds on the SACE are much shorter than the bounds obtained using only the survival information before the measurement of the non-mortality outcome. Second, for the IV method with nonignorable missing covariates problem, we develop a method to estimate the causal effect of a treatment in observational studies using an IV when there are nonignorable missing covariates, i.e., missingness depending on the partially observed compliance class besides the fully observed outcome, covariates and IV. We apply our method to a motivating study in neonatal care to study the effectiveness of high level compared to low level NICUs. Third, besides the association with the treatment, there are two key assumptions for the IV to be valid: (i) the IV is essentially random conditioning on observed covariates, (ii) the IV affects outcomes only by altering the treatment, the so-called ``exclusion restriction". These two assumptions are often said to be untestable; however, that is untrue if testable means checking the compatibility of assumptions with other things we think we know. A test of this sort may result in an aporia. We discuss this subject in the context of our on-going study of the effects of delivery by cesarean section on the survival of extremely premature infants of 23-24 weeks gestational age.
机译:本文考虑了因果推理中的三个问题。首先,对于按死亡检查的问题,我们提出了一套排名平均得分假设,该假设在利用非死亡结果测量之前和之后都利用生存信息来加强对获得的生存平均因果效应(SACE)的限制。以前的文献仅在测量之前使用了生存信息。我们将我们的方法用于对急性肺损伤患者进行机械通气时潮气量相对于传统潮气量较低的效果的随机试验研究。我们在SACE上的界限比在测量非死亡率结果之前仅使用生存信息获得的界限要短得多。其次,对于具有不可忽略的缺失协变量问题的IV方法,我们开发了一种方法,用于在存在不可忽略的缺失协变量的情况下使用IV估计观察研究中治疗的因果关系,即缺失取决于部分观察到的依从性类别,除了完全观察到的结果,协变量和IV。我们将我们的方法应用于新生儿护理的动机研究,以研究高水平与低水平新生儿重症监护病房的疗效。第三,除了与治疗相关联外,IV的有效还有两个关键假设:(i)IV实质上是对观察到的协变量的随机条件,(ii)IV仅通过改变治疗来影响预后,因此-这两个假设通常被认为是不可测试的;但是,如果可测试意味着检查假设与我们认为我们知道的其他事物的相容性,则这是不正确的。这种测试可能会导致失语症。在我们正在进行的剖宫产分娩对23-24周胎龄极早产婴儿的生存影响的研究中,讨论该主题。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yang, Fan.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Pennsylvania.;

  • 授予单位 University of Pennsylvania.;
  • 学科 Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 158 p.
  • 总页数 158
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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