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Employing modern statistics to explore the universe with Type Ia supernovae.

机译:利用现代统计数据,用Ia型超新星探索宇宙。

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摘要

The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) anticipates observing hundreds of thousands of well-measured Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia). These stellar remnant explosions are exceptional in that they have a standardizeable light curve which allows for an accurate measurement of their luminosity. The standard nature of SNe Ia allow us to measure relative distances in the Universe with better than 6% precision in distance. With distance estimates in hand to large sets of galaxies through Type Ia Supernova (SN Ia) measurements, we can measure the expansion history of the Universe or create flow models of how galaxies (matter) near the Milky Way are moving.;In this new regime of large datasets, weaknesses and limitations of the current techniques for estimating cosmological parameters and modeling local flows are becoming apparent. As statistical errors are reduced systematic uncertainties ranging from calibration to survey design and cadence to host galaxy contamination are dominating the error budget and limiting our ability to make improvements on cosmological measurements. Similarly, recent comparisons of flow models reveal systematic inconsistencies between different approaches.;For my dissertation I have employed modern statistical methods to improve flow models in the local Universe by accounting for the non-uniform distribution of data across the sky and demonstrated how Approximate Bayesian Computation can tackle complicated likelihood functions in supernova cosmology. I also present the first results of a new near-infrared SN Ia survey called "SweetSpot" whose focus is on improving our ability to standardize the total luminosity of SNe Ia.
机译:大型天气观测望远镜(LSST)有望观测到成千上万个测量良好的Ia型超新星(SNe Ia)。这些恒星残留爆炸的特殊之处在于它们具有标准化的光曲线,可以精确测量其光度。 SNe Ia的标准性质使我们能够以6%以上的距离精度测量宇宙中的相对距离。通过Ia型超新星(SN Ia)测量到大型星系的距离估计值,我们可以测量宇宙的膨胀历史或创建银河系附近星系(物质)如何运动的流模型。大型数据集的局限性,目前用于估算宇宙学参数和对局部流动建模的技术的弱点和局限性正变得显而易见。随着统计误差的减少,从校准到勘测设计以及节奏到宿主星系污染的系统不确定性正在主导误差预算,并限制了我们改进宇宙学测量的能力。同样,最近对流模型的比较揭示了不同方法之间的系统不一致。;在我的论文中,我采用现代统计方法通过考虑天空中数据的不均匀分布来改进本地宇宙中的流模型,并演示了近似贝叶斯方法计算可以解决超新星宇宙学中复杂的似然函数。我还将介绍一项名为“ SweetSpot”的新近红外SN Ia调查的初步结果,该调查的重点是提高我们标准化SNe Ia的总发光度的能力。

著录项

  • 作者

    Weyant, Anja.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Pittsburgh.;

  • 授予单位 University of Pittsburgh.;
  • 学科 Astrophysics.;Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 193 p.
  • 总页数 193
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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