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Revenue management with forward and spot trading.

机译:远期和现货交易的收入管理。

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摘要

This thesis elaborates on aspects of the revenue management decisions of firms that sell both on a spot and a forward market and face uncertainty in consumer demand.;In Chapter 2 we illustrate a Cournot competition game between firms that have access to a forward market and are facing uncertain consumer demand on the spot market. We find that there always exists a symmetric equilibrium in this setting and give sufficient conditions for it to be unique. We then compute the equilibrium forward and spot quantities that are traded as well as the corresponding prices. We establish that the size of the forward market, in expectation, can be different from the one under deterministic demand, when there is high uncertainty in demand. Moreover, the quantity traded in the forward market can be either higher or lower than in the deterministic case.;In Chapter 3 we focused on a specific type of forward and spot transactions---advertising sales of cable television networks. We start with an empirical investigation of the factors that affect the negotiated plan prices and find that demographic is the major explanatory factor of plan prices. Based on the empirical findings, in the second part of the chapter we formulate a new model for allocating media advertising resources. The new aspect is that each ad spot generates a different number of impressions in different demographics. Consequently, each spot generates a different revenue depending on the target audience of the advertiser to whom it is sold. We propose several heuristics to solve the allocation problem.;In Chapter 4 we model forward premiums and discounts and illustrate how forward markets can be used as instruments of price discrimination. We show that there always exists a forward premium whenever the manufacturers with high willingness to pay have no uncertainty in demand and the manufacturers with low willingness to pay have stochastic demand.
机译:本文详细阐述了在即期和远期市场上出售并面临消费者需求不确定性的公司的收益管理决策方面。在第二章中,我们说明了能够进入远期市场并且在远期市场中的公司之间的古诺竞争博弈。面对现货市场上不确定的消费者需求。我们发现在这种情况下始终存在对称平衡,并为其提供了充足的条件使其唯一。然后,我们计算交易的均衡远期和现货数量以及相应的价格。我们确定,在需求具有高度不确定性的情况下,预期的远期市场规模可以与确定性需求下的规模不同。此外,远期市场中的交易量可以高于或低于确定性情况。在第3章中,我们着重于特定类型的远期和现货交易-有线电视网络的广告销售。我们从对协商的计划价格产生影响的因素进行实证研究开始,发现人口统计是计划价格的主要解释因素。基于经验发现,在本章的第二部分中,我们为分配媒体广告资源制定了一个新模型。新的方面是,每个广告位在不同的受众特征中产生的展示次数均不同。因此,每个广告位都会产生不同的收入,具体取决于将广告位出售给的广告客户的目标受众。我们提出了几种启发式方法来解决分配问题。在第四章​​中,我们对远期溢价和折扣进行建模,并说明了远期市场如何用作价格歧视的工具。我们表明,只要支付意愿高的制造商对需求没有不确定性,而支付意愿低的制造商具有随机需求,总是存在远期保费。

著录项

  • 作者

    Popescu, Dana G.;

  • 作者单位

    New York University, Graduate School of Business Administration.;

  • 授予单位 New York University, Graduate School of Business Administration.;
  • 学科 Business Administration General.;Economics General.;Operations Research.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 157 p.
  • 总页数 157
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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