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Investment Style and Performance Attribution Analysis on Chinese A Share Market.

机译:中国A股市场的投资风格和业绩归因分析。

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摘要

With the fast development of Chinese capital market, an increasing number of institutions and retail investors invest through professional managers. The key to evaluating investment manager's skill and performance persistence largely lies in portfolio style research and attribution analysis.;The current dissertation takes advantage of a unique dataset, uncover hidden investment style and trading behavior, understanding their source of excess returns, and establishing a more comprehensive methodology for evaluating portfolio performance and manager skills.;The dissertation focuses on quantitative analysis. Highlights three most important aspects. Investment style determines the systematic returns and risks of any portfolio, and can be assessed ex-ante; Transaction can be observed and modified during the investment process; and return attribution can be implemented to evaluate portfolio (managers), ex-post. Hence, these three elements make up a comprehensive and logical investment process.;Investment style is probably the most important factor in determining portfolio returns. However, Chinese investment managers are under constant pressure to follow the market trend and shift style accordingly. Therefore, accurately identifying and predicting each manager's investment style proves critically valuable.;In addition, transaction data probably provides the most reliable source of information in observing and evaluating an investment manager's style and strategy, in the middle of the investment process.;Despite the efficacy of traditional return attribution methodology, there are clear limitations. The current study proposes a novel return attribution methodology, by synthesizing major portfolio strategy components, such as risk exposure adjustment, sector rotation, stock selection, altogether. Our novel methodology reveals that investment managers do not obtain much abnormal returns through risk exposure adjustment or sector rotation. Instead, Chinese investment managers seem to enjoy most of their excess returns through stock selection.;In addition, we find several interesting patterns in Chinese A-share market: 1). There is a negative relationship between asset under management (AUM) and investment performance, beyond certain AUM threshold; 2). There are limited benefits from style switching in the long run; 3). Many investment managers use CSI 300 component stocks as portfolio ballast and speculate with CSI500 and Medium-and-Small board component stocks for excess returns; 4). There is no systematic negative relationship between portfolio turnover and investment performance; despite negative relationship within certain sub-samples and sectors; 5). It is plausible to construct outperforming portfolios with style index funds and ETFs.
机译:随着中国资本市场的快速发展,越来越多的机构和散户投资者通过职业经理人进行投资。评估投资经理的技能和绩效持久性的关键主要在于投资组合风格的研究和归因分析。本论文利用独特的数据集,揭示隐藏的投资风格和交易行为,了解其超额收益的来源,并建立更多评估投资组合绩效和管理者技能的综合方法。突出了三个最重要的方面。投资方式决定了任何投资组合的系统性收益和风险,可以事前进行评估;在投资过程中可以观察和修改交易;收益归因可以用于事后评估投资组合(经理)。因此,这三个要素构成了一个全面而合乎逻辑的投资流程。投资风格可能是决定投资组合收益的最重要因素。但是,中国的投资经理人承受着不断追随市场趋势并相应改变风格的不断压力。因此,准确地识别和预测每个经理的投资风格被证明具有至关重要的价值。此外,在投资过程中,交易数据可能是观察和评估投资经理的风格和策略时最可靠的信息来源。传统收益归因方法的功效存在明显的局限性。本研究通过综合主要的投资组合策略组成部分(例如风险敞口调整,行业轮换,股票选择),提出了一种新颖的收益归因方法。我们的新颖方法论表明,投资经理不会通过风险敞口调整或行业轮换获得很多异常收益。取而代之的是,中国投资经理人似乎可以通过选股来享受大部分的超额收益。此外,我们在中国A股市场发现了几种有趣的模式:1)。超出某些AUM阈值时,管理资产(AUM)与投资绩效之间存在负相关关系; 2)。从长远来看,样式转换的好处有限; 3)。许多投资经理使用CSI 300成分股作为投资组合的压舱物,并使用CSI500和中小板成分股来推测超额收益。 4)。投资组合周转率与投资绩效之间没有系统的负面关系;尽管某些子样本和部门之间存在负面关系; 5)。用风格指数基金和ETF构建表现优异的投资组合似乎是合理的。

著录项

  • 作者

    Zhan, Yuyin.;

  • 作者单位

    Arizona State University.;

  • 授予单位 Arizona State University.;
  • 学科 Business administration.;Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2016
  • 页码 89 p.
  • 总页数 89
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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