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Analysis of production-inventory systems by dual-models of control-theoretic and discrete-event simulations.

机译:通过控制理论和离散事件模拟的双重模型分析生产库存系统。

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摘要

The complexity of production-inventory systems has challenged researchers and practitioners like for decades. In recent years, the ever-intensive competition in a global market and the advent of information technology have even elevated the needs of developing methods dealing with the dynamic situations in supply chain systems. Clearly mathematical models only based on average or steady state conditions are insufficient in such dynamic environment. Hence, the mathematical tools based on control theory to handle time-varying phenomena have been reinvigorated to accommodate these new needs.; This work addresses two main issues not mentioned in previous research. The first issue is the application of different model types at different levels of the supply chain (i.e., the factory level, the cell level, etc.). The purpose is to take advantage of similarity between functions at each level (i.e., order policy, forecast, etc.) to build a control theoretic modeling framework (CTMF). This CTMF has to be uniform because in that way it can be scalable among levels. The CTMF also has to be generic, so it can be applied to the existing configurations at each level.; The second issue is concerned with the lack of feasible means to estimate the parameters included in control theoretic models. For some control theoretic applications (i.e., electrical or mechanical engineering) these parameters usually represent time constants and can be easily calculated, but that is not the case for production-inventory applications.; A combination of discrete event simulation and analytical models is proposed to estimate the parameters. First, an analytical expression in the time domain is obtained by inverse Laplace transforms of the transfer function from the control theoretic model of a production center. The production center could be considered a Factory, a cell, or a machine. Then, a discrete simulation model of the same production center is built and an appropriate number of replications is made to collect information about the dynamic behavior of the system.; The information obtained from the discrete simulation (data collected) and from the control theoretic model (analytical expression) represent the same dynamic event. Therefore, parameters for the control theoretic model are determined in such a way that the dynamic response from the control model coincides with the response obtained from the discrete simulation. This problem is represented as a nonlinear least squares optimization. The parameters are the variables to be estimated and the data from the discrete simulation as well as the analytical expression in the time domain are the inputs. The problem is solved using the optimization software GAMS.; Finally, the methodology is illustrated by an industrial case in the automotive part manufacturing industry. Results showed viability of the approach and demonstrated promising potential for further analysis of dynamic events such as: Machine failures, setups, supply shortages, sudden demand variations, expedited batches (rush orders), order cancellations (customer changes), etc.
机译:数十年来,生产库存系统的复杂性一直给研究人员和从业人员带来挑战。近年来,全球市场上日益激烈的竞争以及信息技术的出现甚至提高了开发应对供应链系统动态情况的方法的需求。显然,在这种动态环境中仅基于平均或稳态条件的数学模型是不够的。因此,基于控制理论处理时变现象的数学工具已经得到了革新,以适应这些新需求。这项工作解决了先前研究中未提及的两个主要问题。第一个问题是在供应链的不同级别(即工厂级别,单元级别等)应用不同的模型类型。目的是利用每个级别的功能之间的相似性(即订单策略,预测等)来构建控制理论建模框架(CTMF)。该CTMF必须统一,因为这样可以在各个级别之间进行扩展。 CTMF也必须是通用的,因此可以应用于每个级别的现有配置。第二个问题与缺乏估计控制理论模型中包含的参数的可行方法有关。对于某些控制理论应用(例如,电气或机械工程),这些参数通常表示时间常数,可以很容易地计算出来,但对于生产库存应用则不是这种情况。提出了结合离散事件模拟和分析模型来估计参数的方法。首先,从生产中心的控制理论模型通过传递函数的拉普拉斯逆变换获得时域的解析表达式。生产中心可以被视为工厂,单元或机器。然后,建立同一生产中心的离散仿真模型,并进行适当数量的复制以收集有关系统动态行为的信息。从离散模拟(收集的数据)和控制理论模型(分析表达式)获得的信息表示相同的动态事件。因此,确定控制理论模型的参数,使控制模型的动态响应与离散仿真获得的响应一致。此问题表示为非线性最小二乘优化。参数是要估计的变量,来自离散仿真的数据以及时域中的解析表达式是输入。使用优化软件GAMS解决了该问题。最后,通过汽车零件制造行业的工业案例来说明该方法。结果显示了该方法的可行性,并展示了对动态事件进行进一步分析的潜在潜力,例如:机器故障,设置,供应短缺,突然的需求变化,加急的批次(紧急订单),订单取消(客户变更)等。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ortega, Maximo Jesus.;

  • 作者单位

    State University of New York at Buffalo.;

  • 授予单位 State University of New York at Buffalo.;
  • 学科 Engineering Industrial.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2001
  • 页码 262 p.
  • 总页数 262
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 一般工业技术;
  • 关键词

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