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The impact of the short-short rule repeal on timing ability and other characteristics of mutual funds.

机译:短期-短期规则废除对共同基金的定时能力和其他特征的影响。

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摘要

Repealed on September l, 1997, Internal Revenue Service Code Section 851 (b)(3) commonly known as the “short-short rule (SSR)” or “the 30 percent gross income test” was a burden for fund managers trying to manage their portfolio in an efficient, timely, and active manner. Several changes to portfolio management and trading activity in the mutual fund industry have been anticipated since the short-short rule repeal. Funds can be free from administrative strain and have greater flexibility in the selection of hedging, trading, and investment strategies as well as market liquidity. In other words, the SSR repeal allows fund managers to engage in new trading strategies involving short-term trades.; The objective of this study is to investigate the effects of repealing the short-short rule on the market timing ability, risk characteristics, and trading activities of mutual funds. With respect to the market timing ability, I propose a hypothesis that the short-short rule was the reason for managers' negative market timing ability. It is assumed that the mutual fund managers could not follow market movements while complying with the short-short rule. Changes in the risk, risk adjusted performance, and risk management of mutual funds are also examined. Moreover, differences in the turnover ratio, expense ratio, and short-term capital gains before and after the short-short rule repeal are studied.; The results of this study on the short-short rule repeal lead to three observations. First, it is clearly observed that market timing ability for mutual funds is improved. In three market timing models with three kinds of regression estimators, the average changes in timing ability after the SSR repeal display a statistically significant positive sign. In particular, it is found that fund managers have a positive market timing ability beyond a positive change of ability after the SSR repeal in Goetzmann et al.'s extension model. Second, the risk measures including beta, idiosyncratic risk, and market risk-adjusted risk for pre-SSR repeal, clearly show an increase after SSR repeal. The abnormal returns of funds are also improved. Jensen's alpha and the mean difference test show that the abnormal performance of funds is enhanced after the SSR repeal. Meanwhile, the cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) exhibit a downward pattern right after the SSR repeal. In terms of risk management, it is detected that fund managers reduce the size of risk change on prior performance after the SSR repeal. Third, the expense ratio and the percent of cash holding position significantly drop, while the turnover ratio shows a marginal increase after the SSR repeal, which is contrary to expectation.; This research makes major contributions in three ways. First, this is the first empirical study on the impact of the abolition of the short-short rule upon the mutual fund industry. No research has attempted to address changes in the characteristics of mutual funds such as trading activity or risk management even though more than five years have passed since the rule was eliminated. Second, the short-short rule repeal can show that the market timing ability of fund managers is not negative. In addition to the cash flow, the option-like, and the mismatch hypotheses, the short-short rule hypothesis can contribute to explaining the perverse market timing ability of mutual funds managers. Third, this study could help answer why the use of derivatives recently increased in the mutual fund industry.
机译:1997年9月1日废除的《内部税收服务法》第851(b)(3)条通常被称为“短期-短期规则(SSR)”或“ 30%的总收入测试”,这是基金经理试图管理的负担。以有效,及时和积极的方式进行投资。自从取消短期-短期规则以来,预计共同基金行业的投资组合管理和交易活动将发生一些变化。基金可以不受行政压力的影响,并且在选择对冲,交易和投资策略以及市场流动性方面具有更大的灵活性。换句话说,SSR废除允许基金经理从事涉及短期交易的新交易策略。这项研究的目的是研究废除短期-短期规则对共同基金的市场定时能力,风险特征和交易活动的影响。关于市场时机能力,我提出了一个假设,即空头-空头规则是经理人否定市场时机能力的原因。假定共同基金经理在遵守空头-空头规则时不能跟随市场走势。还检查了风险变化,风险调整后的绩效以及共同基金的风险管理。此外,研究了短期-短期规则废除前后的周转率,费用率和短期资本收益之间的差异。这项关于短-短规则废除的研究结果得出三个结论。首先,可以清楚地看到,共同基金的市场定时能力得到了改善。在具有三种回归估计量的三个市场时机模型中,SSR废除后,时机能力的平均变化显示出统计学上显着的正号。特别是,发现在Goetzmann等人的扩展模型中,SSR废除后,基金经理具有积极的市场定时能力,而不是能力的积极改变。其次,SSR废除前的风险度量(包括beta风险,特质风险和经市场风险调整后的风险)清楚地表明,SSR废除后风险有所增加。资金的异常收益也得到改善。 Jensen的alpha和均值差检验表明,SSR废除后,基金的异常表现得以增强。同时,在SSR废除之后,累积异常收益(CAR)呈下降趋势。在风险管理方面,可以发现,基金经理在SSR废除后会降低先前业绩的风险变化幅度。第三,废除SSR后费用率和现金持仓百分比显着下降,而周转率则略有上升,这与预期相反。这项研究在三个方面做出了重大贡献。首先,这是关于取消空头空头规则对共同基金行业的影响的第一项实证研究。尽管自规则取消以来已经过去了五年多,但尚未有研究试图解决共同基金的特征变化,例如交易活动或风险管理。其次,短期-短期规则的废除可以表明基金经理的市场定时能力不是负面的。除了现金流,类期权和错配假设外,空头-空头规则假设还可以帮助解释共同基金经理的不良市场时机选择能力。第三,这项研究可以帮助回答为何最近在共同基金行业中使用衍生工具的情况增加。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yi, Junesuh.;

  • 作者单位

    Syracuse University.;

  • 授予单位 Syracuse University.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.; Business Administration Banking.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2003
  • 页码 107 p.
  • 总页数 107
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 财政、金融;金融、银行;
  • 关键词

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