Mitigating proliferation: An assessment of nonproliferation institutions, international law, and preemptive counterproliferation intervention.

摘要

The US set forth a national security strategy to combat weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in the 2002 "National Security Strategy of the United States," and the 2002 "National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction." In March 2003 the US Administration reorganized proliferation consequence management under the US Department of Homeland Security. In September 2003 the US, along with ten other industrial states, announced the Proliferation Security Initiative where participant states agreed to coordinate the interdiction of WMD to and from state and non-state actors of proliferation concern. This study develops a strategy model encompassing nonproliferation and counterproliferation structural and normative factors and crosscutting enabling functions derived from these US national security strategy documents, US Department of Homeland Security organization, and the Proliferation Security Initiative.; The strategy model is subsequently used to assess the achievement of nonproliferation results. Findings are derived from an analysis of the multilateral nonproliferation regimes, international law, and two historical nonproliferation case studies involving Libya (1981--1996) and Iraq (1974--1985).; The findings of this study: (a) develop and apply four principal factors of multilateral nonproliferation regime effectiveness to assess nonproliferation results; (b) develop and validate three factors of a legal protocol to assess preemptive counterproliferation intervention under international law; (c) identify key nonproliferation and counterproliferation factors and crosscutting enabling functions through historical nonproliferation case study research that achieved nonproliferation results; and (d) present a strategy model where key factors of military force, international law, and multilateral nonproliferation regimes work together to achieve nonproliferation results and which can be applied by US policy-makers in future nonproliferation scenarios.