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International Portfolio Diversification and Returns Correlation: Theory, Empirics, and Methodology for Panel Country-Pair Data.

机译:国际证券投资组合多元化和收益相关性:面板国家/地区对数据的理论,经验和方法。

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My dissertation attempts to explain one of the diversification puzzles in international macro-finance, and develops specification tests for the fixed effects econometric models that are widely used in international economics. The first two chapters shed light on an understudied aspect of the 'international portfolio diversification puzzle': not only do investors diversify too little abroad, but when they invest abroad, they prefer a country with less diversification benefit. Recent empirical evidence has suggested that countries that have higher stock return correlation also have higher bilateral financial asset holdings (Portes and Rey 2005, Aviat and Coeurdacier 2007, and Lane and Milesi-Ferretti 2008).;The first chapter of my dissertation argues that understanding this puzzling empirical finding requires a multi-county perspective theoretically. I begin by constructing an N-country DSGE model with heterogeneous stock return correlations. The N-country model shows that the effect of stock return correlation on bilateral asset holdings depends upon the stock return correlation with the other countries. It also shows that the overall level of equity home bias depends on the heterogeneous stock return correlations among all countries.;In the second chapter, I tested the prediction on portfolio choice with a large data set on international equity holdings. The empirical result controlling for the multilateral stock return correlations with other countries overturns the result of preceding literature, and confirms that a higher stock return correlation lowers bilateral equity asset holdings as theory predicts.;In the third chapter, I evaluated econometric methodologies that I used in the first two chapters. The country-pair fixed effects (pair FE) model is one of the commonly used models in cross-country panel research as it yields consistent parameter estimates by capturing unobserved country-pair specific heterogeneity that may be correlated with the error term. However, the pair FE model has drawbacks. Not only is there a loss of efficiency due to many dummy variables but also coefficients of time-invariant variables within a country-pair are not identified. As an alternative to the pair FE model, I estimate a country two-way fixed effects (two-way FE) model that controls for an individual country's heterogeneity within a pair. If the two-way FE model gives a consistent result as compared to the pair FE model, then the two-way FE model is able to provide estimates of time-invariant variables within a pair and to improve efficiency. The Monte-Carlo exercises compare the pair FE and the two-way FE estimators, and show which specification is appropriate. To test whether the two-way FE model sufficiently captures unobserved heterogeneity, I propose robust Hausman (1978) specification tests that can be applied even if neither estimator is fully efficient.
机译:本文试图解释国际宏观金融中的多元化难题之一,并为在国际经济学中广泛使用的固定效应计量经济学模型开发规范检验。前两章阐明了“国际投资组合多元化难题”的一个未被充分研究的方面:投资者不仅在国外进行的投资太少,而且在国外投资时,他们更喜欢多样化收益较少的国家。最近的经验证据表明,具有较高股票收益率相关性的国家也拥有较高的双边金融资产持有量(Portes和Rey,2005年; Aviat和Coeurdacier,2007年; Lane和Milesi-Ferretti,2008年)。这一令人费解的经验发现在理论上需要多县视角。我首先构建具有异类股票收益率相关性的N国家DSGE模型。 N国模型表明,股票收益率相关性对双边资产持有量的影响取决于与其他国家的股票收益率相关性。它还表明,股票住房偏向的总体水平取决于所有国家之间股票回报率的异质性。在第二章中,我使用了大量有关国际股票持有量的数据测试了投资组合选择的预测。控制与其他国家/地区的多边股票收益率相关性的经验结果推翻了先前的文献,并证实了较高的股票收益率相关性会降低理论上的双边股权资产持有量。在第三章中,我评估了我使用的计量经济学方法在前两章中。国家对固定效应(对FE)模型是跨国面板研究中常用的模型之一,因为它通过捕获可能与误差项相关的未观察到的国家对特定异质性来产生一致的参数估计。然而,成对的有限元模型有缺点。不仅由于许多虚拟变量而导致效率降低,而且一个国家对内的时不变变量的系数也未被识别。作为对有限元模型的替代方法,我估计了一个国家双向固定效应(双向有限元模型)模型,该模型控制一对中单个国家的异质性。如果双向FE模型与对FE模型相比给出了一致的结果,则双向FE模型能够提供对中的时不变变量的估计并提高效率。蒙特卡洛练习比较了一对FE和双向FE估计量,并显示了哪个规格合适。为了测试双向有限元模型是否能够充分捕获未观察到的异质性,我提出了鲁棒的Hausman(1978)规范测试,即使两种估计器都不是完全有效的,也可以应用。

著录项

  • 作者

    Pyun, Ju Hyun.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, Davis.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, Davis.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2012
  • 页码 105 p.
  • 总页数 105
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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