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A quantitative methodology for vetting 'dark network' intelligence sources for social network analysis.

机译:用于审查“暗网”情报源以进行社交网络分析的定量方法。

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摘要

Social network analysis (SNA) is used by the DoD to describe and analyze social networks, leading to recommendations for operational decisions. However, social network models are constructed from various information sources of indeterminate reliability. Inclusion of unreliable information can lead to incorrect models resulting in flawed analysis and decisions. This research develops a methodology to assist the analyst by quantitatively identifying and categorizing information sources so that determinations on including or excluding provided data can be made.;This research pursued three main thrusts. It consolidated binary similarity measures to determine social network information sources' concordance and developed a methodology to select suitable measures dependent upon application considerations. A methodology was developed to assess the validity of individual sources of social network data. This methodology utilized source pairwise comparisons to measure information sources' concordance and a weighting schema to account for sources' unique perspectives of the underlying social network. Finally, the developed methodology was tested over a variety of generated networks with varying parameters in a design of experiments paradigm (DOE). Various factors relevant to conditions faced by SNA analysts potentially employing this methodology were examined. The DOE was comprised of a 24 full factorial design augmented with a nearly orthogonal Latin hypercube. A linear model was constructed using quantile regression to mitigate the non-normality of the error terms.
机译:国防部使用社交网络分析(SNA)来描述和分析社交网络,从而为运营决策提供建议。但是,社交网络模型是由不确定的各种信息源构建的。包含不可靠的信息可能会导致模型不正确,从而导致分析和决策出错。这项研究开发了一种方法,可以通过对信息源进行定量识别和分类来协助分析师,从而可以确定是否包含或排除提供的数据。它合并了二进制相似性度量来确定社交网络信息源的一致性,并开发了一种方法来根据应用程序的考虑选择合适的度量。开发了一种方法来评估社交网络数据的各个来源的有效性。这种方法利用源对比较来衡量信息源的一致性,并使用加权方案来说明源对基础社交网络的独特观点。最后,在设计实验范式(DOE)的过程中,已开发的方法论已在具有各种参数的各种生成的网络上进行了测试。研究了与可能采用此方法的SNA分析师所面临条件有关的各种因素。 DOE由24个全因子设计组成,并增加了几乎正交的拉丁超立方体。使用分位数回归来构建线性模型,以减轻误差项的非正态性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Morris, James F.;

  • 作者单位

    Air Force Institute of Technology.;

  • 授予单位 Air Force Institute of Technology.;
  • 学科 Military Studies.;Operations Research.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2012
  • 页码 416 p.
  • 总页数 416
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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