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Three Essays on Naked Short Selling and Fails-to-Deliver.

机译:关于裸体卖空和未能交付的三篇论文。

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摘要

This dissertation consists of four chapters that investigate the causes and consequences of fails-to-deliver (FTDs) in U.S. stock markets. In Chapter 1, I present a brief history of U.S. trade settlement institutions. In Chapter 2, I analyze the effects of eliminating a market making exception to timely close-out requirements on FTDs and stock borrow rates. In Chapter 3, I show that amendments to SEC short sale rules reduced common stock FTDs but did not prevent large and persistent FTD positions in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Further, positive changes to ETF FTDs Granger-cause higher market index volatility. In Chapter 4, I find that high FTD stocks experience abnormal negative returns, and thus high FTDs indicate a nonbinding short sale constraint.;In Chapter 2, I investigate the consequences of eliminating the Options Market Maker Exception to SEC Regulation SHO (the "Exception"). Until 2008, options market makers that engaged in bona fide market making were exempt from locate and certain close-out requirements for short sales. The Exception applied only to short sales that qualified as bona fide hedges of options positions that were established before a stock went on the Regulation SHO Threshold List. I test the hypothesis that eliminating the Exception reduced the incentive to naked short sell stocks through the options market. I compare data from the second and fourth quarters of 2008. Consistent with my predictions, I find that eliminating the Exception led to fewer FTDs and higher stock borrow rates for optionable stocks as compared to non-optionable stocks. Further, removing the Exception reduced optionable stock FTDs when the price of borrowing stock was high. Finally, options market trading volume declined after the Exception was eliminated.;In Chapter 3, I investigate the determinants of ETF FTDs. ETF trading volumes have increased over the last decade, and so have unsettled ETF trades at the clearing corporation. ETF FTDs are large and persistent despite SEC rules that require timely close-out. I document positive relationships between ETF FTDs and short sale volume, stock borrow costs, put option open interest, and quarterly index options expiration ("triple witching") dates. These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that market makers fail to deliver to avoid borrowing costs associated with short sales. I also document a positive relationship between short sale demand and changes to ETF shares outstanding. I then find that positive changes in aggregate ETF FTDs Granger-cause higher market index volatility. This is because market makers are required to buy or borrow stock to close-out ETF FTD positions by trade date plus six days ("T+6").;In Chapter 4, I analyze the relationship between high FTDs and stock returns. The academic short sale literature views FTDs as evidence of binding stock lending constraints, and stocks with FTDs may be overpriced because short interest is below equilibrium levels. Conversely, high short interest stocks with nonbinding short sale constraints experience abnormal negative returns. This is because informed short sellers are willing to pay extra to short. I find that high FTD stocks from the Russell 3000 Index experienced abnormal negative returns from 2004 through 2008. I obtain this result in both an event study and a portfolio returns analysis using Fama-French factors. Thus, high FTDs are evidence of a nonbinding short sale constraint that does not restrict informed short selling because high FTD stocks, similar to high short interest stocks, experience abnormal negative returns. While this research does not determine whether FTDs depress stock prices, it demonstrates that high FTD stocks are not overpriced. Additional support for this finding comes from the fact that short interest and FTDs are highly correlated.
机译:本论文由四章组成,分别探讨了美国股票市场交割失败(FTD)的原因和后果。在第一章中,我简要介绍了美国贸易结算机构的历史。在第二章中,我分析了消除对FTD和股票借贷利率的及时平仓要求的例外情况。在第3章中,我表明对SEC卖空规则的修订减少了普通股FTD,但并没有阻止在交易所交易基金(ETF)中持有大量持久性FTD头寸。此外,ETF FTD Granger的积极变化导致更高的市场指数波动性。在第4章中,我发现较高的FTD股票会出现异常的负收益,因此,较高的FTD表示无约束性的卖空限制。 ”)。直到2008年,从事善意做市的期权做市商才可以免除对空头的定位和某些平仓要求。该例外仅适用于在股票进入监管SHO阈值列表之前建立的对期权头寸进行真实对冲的卖空。我检验了以下假设,即消除例外会减少通过期权市场进行空头空头股票的动机。我比较了2008年第二季度和第四季度的数据。与我的预测一致,我发现消除例外例外导致与非选择股票相比,可选股票的FTD减少,股票借入利率提高。此外,当借入股票的价格较高时,取消例外将减少可选股票的FTD。最后,在消除例外之后,期权市场的交易量下降了。在第3章中,我研究了ETF FTD的决定因素。过去十年来,ETF的交易量增加了,结算公司未结算的ETF交易也增加了。尽管SEC规则要求及时平仓,但ETF FTD庞大而持久。我记录了ETF FTD与卖空量,股票借贷成本,认沽期权未平仓合约以及季度指数期权到期日(“三折”)日期之间的积极关系。这些发现与市场制造商未能避免避免与卖空相关的借贷成本的假设相一致。我还记录了卖空需求和已发行ETF股份变动之间的正相关关系。然后,我发现总计ETF FTDs Granger发生了积极变化,导致更高的市场指数波动性。这是因为做市商被要求在交易日前加上六天(“ T + 6”)购买或借入股票以平仓ETF FTD头寸。在第四章​​中,我分析了高FTD与股票收益之间的关系。学术界的卖空文献将FTD视为约束股票借贷约束的证据,带有FTD的股票可能会被高估,因为空头利息低于均衡水平。相反,不受约束的卖空约束的高空头股票会出现异常的负收益。这是因为知情的卖空者愿意为空头多付钱。我发现从2004年到2008年,罗素3000指数的高FTD股票经历了异常的负收益。我在事件研究和使用Fama-French因子的投资组合收益分析中均获得了此结果。因此,高FTD是不约束空头卖空的证据,该约束不限制知情卖空,因为与高空头股票类似的高FTD股票会经历异常的负收益。尽管这项研究并不能确定FTD是否会压低股价,但它表明FTD的高股价并没有被高估。这一发现的额外支持来自于空头利益和FTD高度相关的事实。

著录项

  • 作者

    Welborn, John W.;

  • 作者单位

    George Mason University.;

  • 授予单位 George Mason University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 213 p.
  • 总页数 213
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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