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Using forecast updates and risk-sharing agreements in a three-echelon supply chain.

机译:在三级供应链中使用预测更新和风险共享协议。

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摘要

This dissertation explores coordination schemes that can be used to align the incentives of an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and its contract, manufacturer (CM). The coordination is mediated by demand forecast sharing and component overage risk sharing. Three major problems are studied: (1) two-component newsvendor model in which the CM needs to make ordering decisions on two complementary components at two different stages with new demand information being revealed in between; (2) an OEM-CM joint planning problem in which the CM makes its own purchasing decisions while the OEM can influence the CM's decisions through information-sharing or risk-sharing mechanisms; and (3) a two-mode problem in which a company can split its freight between a slow mode and a fast mode and needs to optimize its shipping decisions using demand forecast updates.; We use a set of two related uniform distributions (U-U) to develop a new model for demand forecast updating. The U-U formulation models demand in the second stage as a uniform random variable whose mean is unknown in the first stage, although its width is known in both stages. To capture risk sharing between the OEM and the CM, we propose a contract under which the OEM compensates the CM for unused components.; Using the U-U model, we first study the CM's planning problem in isolation and obtain an in-depth understanding of the CM's ordering behaviors. The CM tends to increase the order quantity of the component with a longer lead time if better information becomes available at the second stage. Then we investigate the OEM-CM joint planning problem based on different combinations of information sharing and risk sharing. We find that information sharing is not necessarily a substitute for risk sharing. Through information sharing alone, both the OEM and the CM are better off; however, information sharing, when combined with risk sharing under certain agreements, could hurt the OEM's performance. Finally, we apply the U-U model to the two-mode problem. Computational results suggest that better information helps to improve both service and cost performance.
机译:本文探讨了可用于协调原始设备制造商(OEM)和其合同制造商(CM)的激励机制的协调方案。协调由需求预测共享和组件过量风险共享承担。研究了三个主要问题:(1)两组件新闻供应商模型,其中CM需要在两个不同阶段对两个互补组件进行订购决策,并在其间显示新的需求信息; (2)OEM-CM联合计划问题,其中CM做出自己的购买决策,而OEM可以通过信息共享或风险共享机制影响CM的决策; (3)两种模式的问题:公司可以将货物分为慢速模式和快速模式,需要使用需求预测更新来优化其运输决策。我们使用一组两个相关的均匀分布(U-U)来开发用于需求预测更新的新模型。 U-U公式将第二阶段的需求建模为一个统一的随机变量,其均值在第一阶段是未知的,尽管其宽度在两个阶段都是已知的。为了捕获OEM和CM之间的风险分担,我们提出了一项合同,OEM会根据该合同赔偿CM的未使用组件。使用U-U模型,我们首先单独研究CM的计划问题,并获得对CM的订购行为的深入了解。如果在第二阶段可以获得更好的信息,则CM倾向于以更长的交货时间来增加组件的订购数量。然后,我们基于信息共享和风险共享的不同组合来研究OEM-CM联合计划问题。我们发现,信息共享并不一定能代替风险共享。仅通过信息共享,OEM和CM的状况都会更好。但是,信息共享以及某些协议下的风险共享可能会损害OEM的性能。最后,我们将U-U模型应用于双模问题。计算结果表明,更好的信息有助于改善服务和成本绩效。

著录项

  • 作者

    Zhang, Xueyi.;

  • 作者单位

    The Pennsylvania State University.;

  • 授予单位 The Pennsylvania State University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2005
  • 页码 181 p.
  • 总页数 181
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 贸易经济;
  • 关键词

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