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Balancing China's Seasonal Intercity Travel Demand: Alternatives for Freight-Rail Expansion to Reduce Seasonal Passenger-Rail Demand.

机译:平衡中国的季节性城际旅行需求:铁路货运扩展的替代方案,以减少季节性的铁路客运需求。

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摘要

Since 2010, China's annual domestic holiday travel for the 20-day season surrounding Spring Festival (a.k.a. Chinese New Year) has exceeded 200 million trips (China Transportation and Communication Yearbook). The demand surges have overwhelmedintercity transportation systems, particularly passenger rail. This transportation problem has emerged due to spatial economic imbalance: workers have had to travel between their homes in rural hinterlands to factory jobs on the industrial coast, which had grown into amigratory population of 261,390,000 by 2010 (National Bureau of Statistics of China).;The objectives of this research were: • to examine spatial relationships among factories, raw materials, markets, workers, and rail connections; and, • to identify how development of China's freight-rail industry can or will influence the Spring Festival travel season.;Spatial analysis using geographic information systems (GIS), statistical hypothesis testing, and economic analysis including location quotients were conducted to examine spatial relationships among markets, factories, raw materials, workers, and rail connections. Potential was explored for developing freight rail to support inland vertical industry and employment that might reduce worker migration and thus reduce the surges of the Spring Festival travel season.;It was concluded that Research results indicated sixteen inland provinces stood to develop vertical industries and integration. The inland provinces offered resources to support developing six main value-added industries: food processing, fiber development into cloth and textiles, wood and paper products from timber, tobacco products, metals, and machinery. Inland industrialization can offer employment to current migratory workers, thus reducing domestic passenger travel and the volume surges of Spring Festival seasonal demand. As movement of finished goods from hinterlands to the coast replaces movement of workers to coastal factory jobs, freight demand will increase. Increasing freight volumes across the country will produce pressure on the current freight railway network, leading to a need to reverse recent disinvestment by investing in freight infrastructure.
机译:自2010年以来,中国在春节前后的20天年度国内假期旅行(又名农历新年)已超过2亿人次(《中国交通与通讯年鉴》)。需求激增已经淹没了城际交通系统,尤其是客运铁路。这种运输问题是由于空间经济失衡而出现的:工人不得不在农村腹地的家之间旅行,到工业海岸的工厂工作,而到了2010年,工业海岸的移民人口已增加到261,390,000(中国国家统计局)。这项研究的目的是:•检查工厂,原材料,市场,工人和铁路连接之间的空间关系; •确定中国货运铁路行业的发展将如何或将影响春节旅行季节。;使用地理信息系统(GIS)进行空间分析,统计假设检验以及包括位置商在内的经济分析,以检验空间关系市场,工厂,原材料,工人和铁路连接之间。探索了开发货运铁路以支持内陆垂直产业和就业的潜力,这可能减少工人的迁移,从而减少春节旅行季节的激增。结论:研究结果表明,有十六个内陆省份发展垂直产业和一体化。内陆省份提供了资源来支持发展六个主要的增值产业:食品加工,纤维发展成布料和纺织品,木材和纸制品(木材,烟草制品,金属和机械)。内陆工业化可以为当前的移徙工人提供就业机会,从而减少国内旅客旅行和春节季节需求量激增。随着成品从腹地到沿海的转移取代了工人向沿海工厂的转移,货运需求将增加。全国货运量的增加将对当前的货运铁路网络产生压力,导致需要通过投资货运基础设施来扭转近期的投资减少。

著录项

  • 作者

    Li, Lingling.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Kansas.;

  • 授予单位 University of Kansas.;
  • 学科 Urban and Regional Planning.;Transportation.
  • 学位 M.U.P.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 102 p.
  • 总页数 102
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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