封面
声明
论文审阅认定书
致谢
中文摘要
英文摘要
目录
图清单
表清单
变量注释表
1 绪论
1.1 研究背景及意义(Research Background and Significance)
1.2 国内外开采沉陷预计研究现状(Present Research Status of Mining Subsidence Prediction)
1.3 深部开采岩层移动预计研究现状(Present Research Status of Deep Mining Rock Movement and its Prediction)
1.4 主要研究内容(Main Research Contents)
1.5 研究方法及技术路线(Research Methods and Technical Route)
1.6 本章小结(Summary)
2 深部开采地表移动变形规律实测研究
2.1 引言(Introduction)
2.2 多工作面开采地表移动概率积分法参数的遗传优化方法(Probability Integral Method Parameters Backanalysis of Multiple-working Faces Mining Subsidence based on Genetic Optimization)
2.3 张小楼井深部开采地表移动规律(Surface Movement Regularity for Deep Mining in Zhang Xiao-lou Coal Mine)
2.4 三河尖矿东四采区深部开采地表移动规律(Observation Surface Movement Regularity for Deep Mining of East-4th Working Area in San He-jian Coal Mine)
2.5 薛湖煤矿 2102 开采地表沉陷规律(Mining Subsidence Prediction of 2102 Working Face in Xuehu Coal Mine)
2.6 开采深度对地表移动预计参数的影响分析(Influence Analysis of Mining Depth on Surface Movement Prediction Parameters)
2.7 概率积分法预测深部开采岩层移动不适应性分析(Ill-posed analysis of Deep Mining Subsidence Prediction with Probability Integral Method)
2.8 本章小结(Summary)
3 深部开采地表移动变形规律模拟研究
3.1 开采沉陷的模拟研究方法概述(Brief Introduction of Simulation Method)
3.2 深部开采沉陷相似材料模拟试验研究(Similar Material Simulation of Deep Mining Subsidence)
3.3 深部开采岩层移动的数值模拟研究(Numerical Simulation of Deep Mining Subsidence)
3.4 深部开采地表移动规律总结(Regularity Summary of Deep Mining Surface Movement)
3.5 本章小结(Summary)
4 深部开采覆岩移动及破坏规律研究
4.1 相似材料模型覆岩破坏分析(Overburden Rock Failure Regularity Analysis Based on Similar Material Simulation)
4.2 深部开采不同深度处岩体变形及应力变化规律(Deformation and Stress Changes of Different Depth Overburden Rock)
4.3 覆岩移动的动态过程及影响因素分析(Dynamic Process and Effect Factors Analysis of Overburden Rock Movement for Big Depth Coal Seam Mining)
4.4 本章小结(Summary)
5 深部开采地表移动变形预测模型研究
5.1 弹性薄板的基本理论(Basic theory of Elastic Thin Plate)
5.2 基于弹性薄板理论的覆岩下沉计算模型(Calculation Model of Overburden Subsidence Based on Elastic Thin Plate)
5.3 基岩面下沉空间的计算方法(Bedrock Subsidence Space Calculation Method)
5.4 松散层内不均匀下沉空间的三维概率积分传递模型(3D Probability Integral Diffusion Model of Non-uniform Subsidence Space)
5.5 任意开采空间地表极大移动变形值的计算方法(Calculation of Maximum Ground Movement and Deformation Coursed by Mining of Multiple-working Faces)
5.6 下沉空间的双重介质传递开采沉陷预测分析系统的开发(Development of Mining Subsidence Prediction Analysis System Based on Double Medium Diffusion Mining Subsidence Prediction Model)
5.7 模型计算结果验证(Verification of Calculation Results of the Model)
5.8 本章小结(Summary)
6 深部开采地表移动长时序的PSO-SVM预报方法
6.1 支持向量回归机的基本原理及 PSO 优化方法(The Basic theory of SVM and PSO Optimization Method)
6.2 地表移动的非线性时间序列预测建模方法(Non-linear Time Series Forecasting Model Building Method)
6.3 支持向量机时序预测的评价指标(Evaluating Indicators of the SVM Time Series Forecasting)
6.4 长时序开采沉陷动态预测模型应用(Engineering Application of Long Time Series Dynamic Mining Subsidence Prediction)
6.5 本章小结(Summary)
7 工程应用
7.1 庞庄煤矿刘集镇镇区保护煤柱设计(Protective Coal Pillar Design of Liuji Township Pang Zhuang Coal Mine)
7.2 三河尖煤矿7143工作面开采沉陷预测研究(Study of Mining Subsidence Prediction of 7143 Working Face of San He-jian Coal Mine)
7.3 本章小结(Summary)
8 结论及展望
8.1 主要工作及结论(Major Work and Conclusions)
8.2 主要创新点(Main Innovation Points)
8.3 不足及展望(Limitation and Propect)
参考文献
作者简历
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