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The Impact of Parameterization of Cloud Microphysical Processes on Convective Precipitation Forecasting

机译:云微物理过程参数化对流降水预报的影响

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@@ 1. Introduction Cloud microphysical processes play critical roles in vertical distribution of atmospheric moisture and heat, and bring gr eat uncertainty to precipitation prediction, especially for severe rainfall eve nts. Due to the lim itation of computer power , p arameterized microphysical schemes are usually utilized in weather forecasting models and climate models. Dif ferent p arameterizations of cloud microphysics can lead to large discrepancies in pr ecipitation simulati ons. Li et al. (2009) sugges ted that single-moment schemes could significantly overestimate precipitation, especially with the Lin scheme, whereas precipitation amounts simulated with two-moment schemes were comp arable with the measurement s. Khain and Lynn (200 9) compared their simulation results obtained us ing the weat her research and forecast (WRF) model with spectral (bin) microphysics and compared with that obtained from the Thompson bulk-parameterization scheme. They found that the difference in vertical velocity, cloud structure and precipitatio n obtained by different schemes is much larger than the changes caused by variation of aerosol concentration within each scheme. In the present study, we perform simu lations using WRF model with different parameterization schemes for cloud microphysical processes to investigate the efects of p arameterization of cloud mi crophysics on precipit ation for a deep convective system.
机译:@@ 1.引言云的微物理过程在大气水分和热量的垂直分布中起着至关重要的作用,并给降水预测带来了不确定性,特别是对于严重的降雨事件。由于计算机能力的限制,通常在天气预报模型和气候模型中使用参数化的微物理方案。云微观物理学的不同参数化会导致降水模拟中的巨大差异。 Li等。 (2009年)建议单矩方案可能会大大高估降水量,尤其是使用Lin方案,而采用两矩方案模拟的降水量与测量值相当。 Khain和Lynn(200 9)将他们的仿真结果与使用光谱(bin)微观物理学的研究和预测(WRF)模型进行了比较,并与从Thompson体参数化方案获得的仿真结果进行了比较。他们发现,通过不同方案获得的垂直速度,云结构和降水的差异远大于每种方案中气溶胶浓度变化所引起的变化。在本研究中,我们使用具有不同参数化方案的WRF模型对云微物理过程进行模拟,以研究云微物理参数化对深对流系统降水的影响。

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