ANALYTICAL AND EMPIRICAL VALIDATION OF DYNAMIC THERMAL BUILDING MODELS

摘要

This paper describes the validation methodology adopted by a group of co-operating institutions in the United Kingdom. The need for such a methodology is discussed together with an assessment of the current situation. The role of inter-model comparisons, analytical tests and empirical validation is discussed. A recent comparison between models has attempted to eliminate some of the confusing factors usually accompanying such studies. Substantial differences arising from the basic algorithms are shown to exist. A set of analytical tests supplementing those developed by SERI is described briefly. The problem of uncertainty arising from measurement error in the context of empirical validation and the role of sensitivity analyses in quantifying this is discussed.