ANALYSIS OF THE MARKET FOR NEWSULFUR RECOVERY TECHNOLOGIES

摘要

The need for H2S removal & sulfur recovery technology is affected by several broad trends,rnincluding:rn? World production rates for natural gas are expected to continue to increase for at least thernnext 20 years;rn? Environmental regulations, which become more restrictive over time (including in LatinrnAmerica), increasingly require sulfur recovery or other sulfur emission controlrntechnology; and,rn? Future production of natural gas and other fossil fuels is expected to have more H2S thanrnpast production.rnThese factors mean that the need for H2S removal & sulfur recovery technology will growrnsteadily over at least the next 20 yrs. Current sales rates of H2S removal & sulfur recoveryrntechnology to natural gas customers are estimated at ～82 units/yr for medium-scale plants andrn～50 units/yr for large-scale plants. These plant sales rates are expected grow by an average ofrnapproximately 2 to 3% per year over the next 20 yrs. Further, sales growth rates higher than thisrnaverage are expected in Latin America due to the higher growth rate of natural gas productionrnexpected there.rnThis paper shows how publicly available data was used to estimate the size of the market forrnH2S removal & sulfur recovery from gas streams. In addition to estimating the number ofrntechnology sales, the paper discusses the geographic locations where technology is needed, andrnthe potential break down of technology sales to various industries.