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Simulation of adaptive project management analytics

机译:仿真自适应项目管理分析

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Typically, IT projects are delivered over-budget and behind schedule. In this paper, we explore the effects of common project management practices that contribute to these problems and suggest a better alternative that can utilize resources more effectively. Our alternative approach uses (a) a thorough analysis of risks affecting activities in a project plan (i.e., the root factors leading to cost and time overruns), and (b) an optimization of the resources allocated to each activity in the project plan to maximize the probability of on time and within budget project completion. One key feature of our method is its capability to adapt and learn the risk factors affecting activities during the course of the project, enabling project managers to reallocate resources dynamically to ensure a better outcome given the updated risk profile. We use simulations to test the performance of our optimization algorithm and to gain insights into the benefits of adaptive re-planning.
机译:通常,IT项目将提供过预算和落后时间表。在本文中,我们探讨了普遍项目管理实践对这些问题的影响,并提出了更好的替代方案,可以更有效地利用资源。我们的替代方法使用(a)对影响项目计划中活动的风险的彻底分析(即导致成本和时间超支的根源区),(b)优化分配给项目计划中每项活动的资源最大化准时和预算项目完成范围内的概率。我们的方法的一个关键特征是其适应和学习在项目过程中影响活动的风险因素,使项目经理能够动态地重新分配资源,以确保给出更新的风险简介。我们使用仿真来测试优化算法的性能,并在适应性重新规划中获得洞察力的洞察。

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