COVID-19 India: Forecast the COVID-19 Pandemic and Death Rate Modelling

摘要

During humankind, in the primary stage, one of the coronaviruses is identified as MERS-COV (the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus) observed in 2013, then its transmission from one to another named SARS-COV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2) discovered in 2019. The country India challenging the contemporary task to manage the pandemic situation and has maintained the increasing rate with the strict criteria. The spread of coronavirus in India is increasing gradually, hence it's presently a serious problem in India. The majority rate of the infected case has been controlled with the help of national lockdown; however, some uncontrolled mass-level events have negatively affected the infected cases. In this project, the disease-related mathematical models: - the SIR and the Prophet model have been implemented. The paper is focused on the disease cases for each state, death, mortality rate, and recovery, and forecasted for the next coming days. This research presented the circumstances of coronavirus grown in India, accompanying the impact of different states shown visually.