The Prediction of Fishery Development Model and Prospects of Liaoning Province

摘要

Fishery industry is an important component of the agricultural industry in Liaoning Province. The development of the fishery industry plays a significant role on a steady and rapid development of the agricultural economy in Liaoning Province. In this paper, based on the annual GDP data of fishing industry in Liaoning Province from 1978 to 2007, it has been established for fishery output value growth model in Liaoning. With the aid of the influence factor of the fishery total output value analyzed by the model of LOGIT, the future fishery total output value of Liaoning Province has been forecasted. The forecasting result indicates that fishery output value of Liaoning Province will have relatively big substantial room for growth in the future several years. But its rate of rising will reduce speed gradually.