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Incorporating Value Judgment in Technology Forecasting Using Data Envelopment Analysis

机译:使用数据包络分析在技术预测中判断价值判断

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Technology Forecasting using Data Envelopment Analysis (TFDEA) has been employed to a wide range of applications because of its ability to model complex tradeoffs. The very name indicates that it is based on Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) which has strength that it doesn't require fixed a priori weighting scheme. Instead, it adopts dynamic weighting scheme that each data point can choose their best possible weights. However, it is well known that this flexibility may result in extreme weights that may be considered unrealistic in certain applications and has been one subject of DEA researches. This paper extends the standard TFDEA model to incorporate value judgment in assessment to refine the analysis framework. The proposed model is applied to the Liquid Crystal Display (LCD) industry to address impact of various weight restrictions on the technology forecast results.
机译:使用数据包络分析(TFDEA)的技术预测已被用于广泛的应用程序,因为它可以模拟复杂权衡的能力。名称表示它基于数据包络分析(DEA),其具有不需要固定的先验加权方案的强度。相反,它采用动态加权方案,即每个数据点都可以选择最佳的权重。然而,众所周知,这种灵活性可能导致极端重量,这在某些应用中可能被认为是不现实的,并且是DEA研究的一个主题。本文扩展了标准TFDEA模型,在评估中纳入价值判断,以改进分析框架。所提出的模型应用于液晶显示器(LCD)行业,以解决各种重量限制对技术预测结果的影响。

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