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Precipitation Estimation by Multi-time Scale Support Vector Machine with Quantum Optics Inspired Optimization Algorithm

机译:量子光学启发式优化算法的多尺度尺度支持向量机降水估计

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Summer precipitation estimat ion is one of the key and difficult tasks in short -term climate prediction because of the largeamount of convective precipitation in summer which is characterized by uneven distribution, large intensity, shortduration and rapid change with time. In order to improve the accuracy of summer precipitation estimation, an efficientmethod by mult i-t ime scale Support Vector Machine (SVM) with quantum optics inspired optimization (QOIO) isproposed in this paper. And the performance of the proposed method is verified by radar reflect ivity and precipitationdata of automatic weather stations (AWSs) in Shanghai. Using radar reflectivity and precipitat ion in the most relevanttime scale, a rainfall estimation model based on multi -time scale SVM is established for each AWS to estimate next 6-minute precipitation. Compared with the traditional single Z-R relationship, linear regression, K-nearest neighbor andordinary SVM, the results show the higher Threat Score and lower root mean square error can be obtained by theproposed method in summer precipitation estimation.
机译:由于降水量大,夏季降水估算是短期气候预测中的关键和困难任务之一。 夏季对流降水量大,分布不均,强度大,时间短 持续时间并随时间快速变化。为了提高夏季降水估算的准确性, 多尺度缩放支持向量机(SVM)和量子光学启发式优化(QOIO)的方法是 本文提出。并通过雷达反射率和降水量验证了该方法的性能。 上海自动气象站的数据在最相关的情况下使用雷达反射率和降水 时间尺度,针对每个AWS建立基于多时间尺度SVM的降雨估算模型,以估算下6个 微小的沉淀。与传统的单一Z-R关系相比,线性回归,K近邻和 普通的SVM,结果表明通过以下方法可以获得更高的威胁得分和更低的均方根误差 提出的夏季降水估算方法。

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