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Validating Drilling States Classifiers with Suboptimal Datasets

机译:使用次优数据集验证钻探状态分类器

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The wide-scale deployment of analytics to support the well construction processes based on rig data has opened a host of opportunities to improve performance, quality, and safety at all levels in the offshore drilling industry. As automation and high-stakes decision making starts to rely more on these types of classifiers, a topic of consideration is the validation methods employed during their development to ensure accuracy and precision, requiring the best available methods to help data scientists evaluate their soundness, features and limitations, and explain to key stakeholders who may not be familiar with such techniques. In the particular case of drilling states determination from signal data, there may be cases where the ground truth records are either at lower resolution than desired, or where some degree of uncertainty on the labeling exist, techniques such as inter-rater reliability (IRR) or inter-rater agreement (IRA) can help to demonstrate consistency among observational decision provided by multiple sources and be used as a way to show the level of agreement between, for example, a proposed drilling state generator classifier using drillfloor data and existing IADC codes from available logs at the same time. This approach can be used to help decisions on further development of the particular classifier before committing to stricter model validation. This paper will show examples of these techniques applied to automatic generation of certain IADC codes using signal data vs log records, and how IRR/IRA can help inform the quality of the results.
机译:为支持基于钻机数据的油井建设过程而进行的大规模分析部署,为改善海上钻井行业各个层面的性能,质量和安全性提供了许多机会。随着自动化和高风险决策开始更多地依赖于这些类型的分类器,需要考虑的主题是在其开发过程中采用的验证方法,以确保准确性和准确性,因此需要最佳的可用方法来帮助数据科学家评估其健全性,特征和限制,并向可能不熟悉此类技术的主要利益相关者进行解释。在根据信号数据确定钻探状态的特定情况下,可能存在以下情况:地面真相记录的分辨率低于所需的分辨率,或者在标签上存在某种程度的不确定性,例如评级人间可靠性(IRR)或评估者之间的协议(IRA)可以帮助证明多个来源提供的观测决策之间的一致性,并且可以用作显示拟议的使用钻机数据的钻探状态生成器分类器与现有IADC代码之间的协议水平的一种方式同时从可用日志中获取。在致力于更严格的模型验证之前,可以使用此方法来帮助做出有关特定分类器进一步开发的决策。本文将展示这些技术的示例,这些技术适用于使用信号数据与日志记录自动生成某些IADC代码的情况,以及IRR / IRA如何帮助告知结果质量。

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