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Application of Unsupervised Machine Learning to Increase Safety and Mobility on Roadways after Snowstorms

机译:无监督机器学习在暴风雪道路道路上提高安全性和流动性的应用

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The impact of a snowstorm on the safety and mobility of roadway transportation depends mainly on the storm's level of severity. Defining storms' severity, though, is challenging due to the high number of weather parameters needed to describe these events and the non-linear relationships among these parameters. Finding patterns among snowstorms can conceivably simplify this process and help practitioners better analyze and prepare for such events, even when the severity is not explicitly quantified. Therefore, this study interrogated historical data to assess and compare clustering methods and to identify patterns manifesting in snowstorms to lay the necessary foundations for building a more reliable and objective winter severity index. The research team selected three hierarchical clustering methods that differentiated similar groups of snowstorms among more than 2,000 events dated between 2006—2016 in Nebraska. The team then evaluated the performance of these methods using the Calinski-Harabasz index. A range of clustering scenarios were reviewed visually using principal component analysis to determine the optimal number of clusters. The results indicate that while some districts can be described by as few as three clusters, others can experience up to six different clusters of snowstorms. The use of PCA and visualization in this context can facilitate a better understanding of these high-dimensional data, and the findings of this study can help agencies better comprehend snowstorms and prepare for them, which can help communities to maintain the safety and mobility of their drivers.
机译:在道路交通的安全性和流动性暴风雪的影响主要取决于严重的风暴的水平。定义风暴的严重程度,虽然是困难,因为高数来描述这些事件和这些参数之间的非线性关系所需要的天气参数。暴风雪中寻找模式可以想见简化这一过程,并帮助从业人员更好地分析和对这样的事件做好准备,即使在严重程度没有明确量化。因此,本研究审讯历史数据,以评估和比较聚类方法和识别模式在暴风雪表现奠定了必要的基础建设更可靠和客观的冬季严重指数。该研究小组选择了三个层次聚类方法分化的雪灾类似团体在内布拉斯加州2006-2016年之间2000余个事件中。研究小组随后评价了使用Calinski-Harabasz指数这些方法的性能。的聚类的场景的一系列目视采用主成分分析,以确定簇的最佳数目审查。结果表明,尽管一些地区可以通过尽可能少的被描述为三个集群,别人可以体验高达雪灾的六个不同的集群。在这种情况下,使用主成分分析和可视化,可有助于更好地这些高维数据的理解,这项研究的结果可以帮助机构更好地理解雪灾,并为他们做好准备,这可以帮助社区维护的安全性和流动性的驱动程序。

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