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Quantifying Hospital Resilience to Earthquakes Based on System Dynamics Modeling

机译:基于系统动力学建模量化对地震的抵抗

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Hospitals play a crucial role in the mitigation and recovery of earthquake-hit regions, which are expected to be resilient enough so as to provide medical care that is badly needed in the aftermath of earthquakes. Nevertheless, there lack appropriate quantitative assessment approaches of hospital earthquake resilience, which makes it challenging for devising and benchmarking resilience enhancement measures. In this paper, a quantitative assessment approach of hospital resilience to earthquakes considering the physical damage and the recovery of hospital functionality is proposed. A system dynamics (SD) model is developed to simulate the hospital functionality hence enabling quantification of hospital resilience to earthquakes. The efficacy of the proposed approach is validated in a case study. The proposed approach can provide a tool for hospitals to quantitatively assess their resilience to earthquakes so as to propose targeted resilience enhancement measures for future earthquakes.
机译:医院在地震袭击地区的缓解和恢复方面发挥了至关重要的作用,这预计将足够有弹性,以便在地震之后提供急需的医疗保健。尽管如此,缺乏适当的医院地震恢复能力评估方法,这使得设计和基准性增强措施挑战。本文提出了考虑物理损害和医院功能恢复的地震地震抗震性的定量评估方法。开发了一个系统动态(SD)模型来模拟医院功能,从而使医院适应地震的量化能力。在案例研究中验证了所提出的方法的功效。拟议的方法可以为医院提供一种工具,以定量地评估其对地震的抵御能力,以便为未来地震提出有针对性的弹性增强措施。

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