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A Copula-Based Method for Stochastic Simulation of Daily Suspended Sediment Concentration

机译:基于Copula的日悬浮泥沙浓度随机模拟方法

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In this paper, a copula-based method was proposed for stochastic simulation of the daily suspended sediment concentration (SSC). In this method, bivariate copula functions were used to describe the dependence structures of the SSCs between adjacent days. To reduce the difficulties of determining the daily marginal distributions of the SSC, the observed daily SSC data were normalized by using the normal quantile transform method. The proposed method was applied to generate the long-term daily SSC data of the Pingshan Station on the Jinsha River, and was compared with the autoregressive (AR) model. The results show that the proposed method can better preserve the statistical properties of observed daily SSC data with high accuracy. In addition, the skewness and nonlinear correlation of the SSCs simulated by the proposed method were better than the AR model. This study can provide a new tool for stochastic simulation of the long-term daily SSCs.
机译:本文提出了一种基于copula的方法来随机模拟日悬浮泥沙浓度(SSC)。在这种方法中,使用双变量copula函数来描述相邻天之间SSC的依赖性结构。为了减少确定SSC的每日边际分布的困难,使用正常分位数变换方法对观察到的每日SSC数据进行了归一化。该方法被用于生成金沙江坪山站的长期每日SSC数据,并与自回归(AR)模型进行了比较。结果表明,该方法可以更好地保持观测到的每日SSC数据的统计特性,且精度较高。此外,该方法模拟的SSCs的偏度和非线性相关性均优于AR模型。这项研究可以为长期每日SSC的随机模拟提供新的工具。

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