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AN ANALYSIS OF CIVIL AVIATION INDUSTRY SAFETY NEEDS FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF LIQUID HYDROGEN PROPULSION TECHNOLOGY

机译:引入液态氢推进技术的民航业安全需求分析

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Over the next few decades air travel is predicted to grow, with international agencies, manufacturers and governments predicting a considerable increase in aviation use. However, based on current fuel type, International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) project emissions from aviation are estimated to be seven to ten times higher in 2050 than in 1990. These conflicting needs are problematic and have led to the EU Flightpath 2050 targeting dramatic emissions reductions for the sector (75% CO2, 90% NOX by 2050). One proposed solution, decreasing carbon emissions without stunting the increase in air travel, is hydrogen propulsion; a technology with clear environmental benefits. However, enabling the safe application of this fuel to aviation systems and industrial infrastructure would be a significant challenge. High-profile catastrophic incidents involving hydrogen, and the flammable and cryogenic nature of liquid hydrogen (LH_2) have led to its reputation as a more dangerous substance than existing or alternative fuels. But, where they are used (in industry, transport, energy), with sufficient protocols, hydrogen can have a similar level of safety to other fuels. A knowledge of hazards, risks and the management of these becomes key to the integration of any new technology. Using assessments, and a gap analysis approach, this paper examines the civil aviation industry requirements, from a safety perspective, for the introduction of LH_2 fuel use. Specific proposed technology assessments are used to analyze incident likelihood, consequence impact, and ease of remediation for hazards in LH2 systems, and a gap analysis approach is utilized to identify if existing data is sufficient for reliable technology safety assessment. Outstanding industry needs are exposed by both examining challenges that have been identified in transport and industrial areas, and by identifying the gaps in current knowledge that are preventing credible assessment, reliable comparison to other fuels and the development of engineering systems. This paper demonstrates that while hydrogen can be a safe and environmentally friendly fuel option, a significant amount of work is required for the implementation of LH_2 technology from a mass market perspective.
机译:在接下来的几十年中,航空旅行预计将增长,国际机构,制造商和政府预计航空使用量将大大增加。但是,根据当前的燃料类型,国际民航组织(ICAO)的项目排放量到2050年估计比1990年高出7到10倍。这些相互矛盾的需求是有问题的,并导致欧盟Flight Path 2050的目标是大幅排放该行业的减排量(到2050年,二氧化碳排放量减少75%,氮氧化物排放量减少90%)。提出的一种解决方案是减少氢气的排放,同时又不阻碍空气旅行的增加,这是氢推进的一种解决方案。具有明显环境效益的技术。但是,如何将这种燃料安全地应用于航空系统和工业基础设施将是一项重大挑战。与氢有关的重大灾难性事件以及液态氢(LH_2)的易燃和低温性质导致其作为比现有或替代燃料更危险的物质而享有盛誉。但是,如果使用了足够的规程(在工业,运输,能源中),则氢气的安全性可与其他燃料相提并论。危害,风险及其管理的知识成为集成任何新技术的关键。本文使用评估和差距分析方法,从安全的角度研究了民航业引入LH_2燃料的要求。提出的特定技术评估用于分析事件可能性,后果影响以及对LH2系统中的危害进行补救的简便性,并且采用差距分析方法来识别现有数据是否足以进行可靠的技术安全评估。通过审查在运输和工业领域中已经发现的挑战,以及通过识别当前知识中的差距(这些问题妨碍了可靠的评估,与其他燃料的可靠比较以及工程系统的开发),可以暴露出突出的行业需求。本文证明,尽管氢气可以是一种安全且环保的燃料选择,但从大众市场的角度来看,实施LH_2技术仍需要大量工作。

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