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New Product Development with Dynamic Decision Support

机译:新产品开发与动态决策支持

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摘要

The development of new and improved management methods for new product development is important. Existing methods suffer from a number of shortcomings, especially the ability to deal with a mixture of quantitative and qualitative data. The objective of this study is to apply decision support techniques (especially Bayesian Networks) to the area of new product development management in order to address some of the shortcomings. The research approach is one of decision structuring and modelling. A three step decision structuring framework is used to develop a conceptual model, based on a Bayesian network, to support new product development management. The result is a Bayesian network that incorporates the knowledge of experts into a decision support model. It is shown that the model is requisite because it contains all the essential elements of the problem from which a decision maker can take action. The model can be used to perform what-if analysis in various ways, thereby supporting the management of risk in new product development. This research contributes not only a model to support new product development management but also provides insight into how decision support, and especially Bayesian networks, can enhance technology management methods.
机译:新产品开发的新和改进管理方法的发展很重要。现有方法遭受了许多缺点,特别是处理定量和定性数据的混合的能力。本研究的目的是将决策支持技术(特别是贝叶斯网络)应用于新产品开发管理领域,以解决一些缺点。研究方法是决策结构和建模之一。三步决策结构框架用于开发基于贝叶斯网络的概念模型,以支持新产品开发管理。结果是贝叶斯网络,将专家的知识融入决策支持模型中。结果表明,该模型是必需的,因为它包含决策者可以采取行动的问题的所有基本要素。该模型可用于以各种方式进行 - 如果以各种方式进行分析,从而支持新产品开发中的风险管理。该研究不仅有助于支持新产品开发管理的模型,还提供了深入了解决策支持,特别是贝叶斯网络,可以增强技术管理方法。

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