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A NOVEL METAMODELING APPROACH FOR TIME-TEMPERATURE PARAMETER MODELS

机译:时间-温度参数模型的新型元建模方法

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The classic approach to the prediction of stress-rupture involves using time-temperature parameters. Since 1952 with the introduction of the Larson-Miller parameter, many different time-temperature parameters have been introduced. There have been several attempts to generalize the many time-temperature models into a single "metamodel". A common approach is to use a pre-defined stress-parameter function that is force fit to the submodels leading to biased predictions. In this study, a novel metamodeling approach is applied to derive a single metamodel that incorporates twelve time-temperature parameters (eight existing and four new time-temperature parameter models are exploited). This metamodel allows the instantaneous and efficient evaluation of all twelve submodels simultaneously. The metamodel and twelve submodels are evaluated against four isotherms of alloy P91 stress-rupture data in the form of time-temperature parameterization isostress lines, points of convergence, and master curves for each model. A statistical analysis of the uncertainty of stress-rupture predictions with respect to the experimental uncertainty of the experimental database is performed. A key characteristic of time-temperature parameters is the regression analysis of stress versus the calculated parameter. An analysis of stress-parameter functions is performed to determine the optimal function that produces physically realistic predictions. Finally, a guideline to the selection of the most physically realistic time-temperature parameter and stress-parameter function for a given material is presented.
机译:预测应力断裂的经典方法涉及使用时间-温度参数。自1952年引入Larson-Miller参数以来,已经引入了许多不同的时间-温度参数。已经进行了多种尝试,以将许多时间-温度模型概括为单个“元模型”。一种常见的方法是使用预定义的应力参数函数,该函数将强制拟合到子模型,从而导致预测有偏差。在这项研究中,一种新颖的元模型化方法被应用来导出一个包含十二个时间-温度参数的单个元模型(利用了八个现有温度和四个新的时间-温度参数模型)。该元模型允许同时对所有十二个子模型进行即时和有效的评估。针对合金P91应力破裂数据的四个等温线,以时间-温度参数化等应力线,会聚点和每个模型的主曲线的形式,对元模型和十二个子模型进行了评估。对应力破裂预测的不确定性相对于实验数据库的实验不确定性进行了统计分析。时间-温度参数的关键特征是应力对计算参数的回归分析。对应力参数函数进行分析,以确定产生物理上实际预测的最佳函数。最后,给出了针对给定材料选择最实际的时间温度参数和应力参数函数的指南。

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