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Development of Reservoir Operation Rules for Sustainable Water Supply Considering Climate Change on Multi-Purpose Dams in Korea

机译:考虑气候变化的韩国多用途水坝水库可持续水库调度规则的制定

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In this study, the drought contingency plans of reservoir operation rules were developed to mitigate drought risks and satisfy the water demand. Drought contingency plans are the triggering criteria and guideline for initiation and termination of drought response stages and consist of two criteria (standard daily water levels (or volumes) and release rules by five levels of drought response stages; normal water supply, mild water shortage, moderate water shortage, severe water shortage, emergency and water shortage). Five sets of standard daily water volumes are constructed and satisfied the water supply reliability of 95% for water demand at each five level of drought response stages. As a result of application to five multi-purse dams in Nakdong River Basin, it is found that each dam could preserve the high water levels during historical periods and mitigate the past severe drought. However, the future water supply reliability ranges from 99% to 65% depending on AR5 RCP climate change scenarios. It means that the reservoir operation rules are not sufficient and need to modify for future inflow conditions based on the AR5 RCP climate change scenarios.
机译:在这项研究中,制定了水库调度规则的干旱应急计划,以减轻干旱风险并满足需水量。干旱应急计划是启动和终止干旱响应阶段的触发标准和指南,包括两个标准(标准每日水位(或水量)和五个干旱响应阶段的释放规则;正常供水,轻度缺水,中度缺水,严重缺水,紧急情况和缺水)。构建了五组标准的每日水量,并在干旱响应的每个五个级别中满足了95%的供水需求的供水可靠性。通过在那东江流域的五个多用途水坝上进行应用,发现每个水坝都可以在历史时期内保持较高的水位,并减轻过去的严重干旱。但是,根据AR5 RCP气候变化的情况,未来的供水可靠性范围在99%到65%之间。这意味着水库运行规则还不够,需要根据AR5 RCP气候变化情景对未来的入流条件进行修改。

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