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Exploring risks causing schedule overrun in upstream natural gas projects — A critical review and implications for future research

机译:探索导致上游天然气项目进度超支的风险—关键审查及其对未来研究的启示

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Schedule overruns in oil and gas projects are a serious concern worldwide because of the detrimental effects of delays, severe cost increases, and reduced return on investments that these slips cause. Despite the increasing occurrence of delays in natural gas projects globally, limited research exists concerning delays in oil and gas projects, and no attention has been paid to the upstream project phases though industry reports have been highlighting those phases as a significant part of the problem. Towards making scholarly literature reflect this emerging truth, this paper critically reviews existing literature to provide comprehensive understanding of risks causing delays in upstream gas projects. Findings are: (1) literature is still inconclusive about impact of nontechnical risks on schedule performance; (2) project performance is influenced by numerous exogenous risks; and (3) absence of sophisticated tools to analyze different dimensions of project delays. This paper accordingly makes a contribution by providing research-driven suggestions for areas requiring further investigation.
机译:石油和天然气项目的进度超支是世界范围内的一个严重问题,因为延误,严重的成本增加以及这些延误所导致的投资回报减少的不利影响。尽管全球范围内天然气项目的延误事件越来越多,但有关石油和天然气项目延误的研究却很少,尽管行业报告已将上游阶段作为问题的重要组成部分,但并未对上游项目阶段给予关注。为了使学术文献能够反映这一新兴的事实,本文对现有文献进行了批判性评论,以全面理解造成上游天然气项目延误的风险。研究发现:(1)关于非技术风险对进度绩效的影响的文献尚无定论; (2)项目绩效受到众多外部风险的影响; (3)缺乏用于分析项目延误的不同维度的复杂工具。因此,本文通过为需要进一步研究的领域提供研究驱动的建议做出了贡献。

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